<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Ethiopian Tribune</title>
	<atom:link href="https://ethiopiantribune.com/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com</link>
	<description>የኢትዮጵያ ትሪቢውን</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 22:52:32 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en-GB</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>
	hourly	</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>
	1	</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9</generator>

<image>
	<url>https://i0.wp.com/ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/EthiopianTribune.jpg?fit=32%2C32&#038;ssl=1</url>
	<title>Ethiopian Tribune</title>
	<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com</link>
	<width>32</width>
	<height>32</height>
</image> 
<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">213632640</site>	<item>
		<title></title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hirut-befikadu-the-woman-who-gave-africa-its-voice/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hirut-befikadu-the-woman-who-gave-africa-its-voice/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 22:48:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethionews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopian News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopiantribune.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያን ትሪቢውን]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4803</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[She belonged to the small, formidable company of Ethiopians who did not merely live through the making of modern Africa but helped to assemble it — patiently, precisely, one briefing and one document at a time. For the better part of thirty-four years, Hirut Befikadu served the Organisation of African Unity, the body founded in Addis Ababa in 1963 to speak for a continent finding its own voice. It fell to her, more than to almost anyone, to make that voice intelligible to the world.

]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>7 Minute, 27 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!-- Ethiopian Tribune — WordPress-ready, inline-styled article. Paste directly into the WordPress HTML/Custom-HTML block. --></p>
<div style="max-width: 760px; margin: 0 auto; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Palatino,Georgia,serif; color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 1.7; font-size: 18px; background: #fffdf8; padding: 8px 4px">
<p style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 13px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 0 0 10px"><strong>Obituary · A Son’s Tribute</strong></p>
<h1 style="font-size: 34px; line-height: 1.2; margin: 0 0 14px; color: #8B0000; font-weight: bold">Hirut Befikadu: The Woman Who Gave Africa Its Voice</h1>
<p style="font-size: 20px; font-style: italic; color: #333; margin: 0 0 18px; line-height: 1.5"><em>She helped give the Organisation of African Unity its public voice, built the institution’s first Women’s Division, and carried Africa’s case from Addis Ababa to Beijing and into the shattered districts of wartime Sierra Leone. She was a mother of three — and a figure of quiet instruction to a great many more.</em></p>
<p style="font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 1px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8B0000; border-top: 2px solid #B8860B; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding: 8px 0; margin: 0 0 8px">By Endex &nbsp;·&nbsp; Chief Editor, The Ethiopian Tribune &nbsp;·&nbsp; 22 June 2026</p>
<p style="font-style: italic; color: #555; font-size: 16px; margin: 0 0 26px"><em>The Tribune’s Chief Editor writes of his mother.</em></p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px"><span style="float: left; font-size: 64px; line-height: 48px; padding: 6px 10px 0 0; font-weight: bold; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Palatino,serif">S</span>he belonged to the small, formidable company of Ethiopians who did not merely live through the making of modern Africa but helped to assemble it — patiently, precisely, one briefing and one document at a time. For the better part of thirty-four years, Hirut Befikadu served the Organisation of African Unity, the body founded in Addis Ababa in 1963 to speak for a continent finding its own voice. It fell to her, more than to almost anyone, to make that voice intelligible to the world.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 16px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 30px 0 12px">The Voice of a Young Continent</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Hirut joined the OAU in its earliest, improvised days, having begun her working life at the newly established Ethiopian Tourism Organisation in 1963. Within a year she had moved to the fledgling continental secretariat, where the work was relentless and the stakes were continental. Assigned to the Information and Protocol Division, she rose to lead it, serving for seventeen years as Head of Information.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">The task was unforgiving. A new organisation, charged with shaping Africa’s political, social and economic course, had to be explained — persuasively, accurately, and often under pressure — to journalists and researchers who gave her no rest. To answer them she first had to know, which meant a discipline of constant reading that never left her. She travelled the length and breadth of the continent, and there was scarcely a country she did not visit in the service of introducing the OAU to Africa and the wider world. In the veteran Ethiopian journalist Gedamu Abraha she found a mentor who helped her master the craft.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 16px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 30px 0 12px">The Platform at Beijing</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">If the Information Division made her name, it was the Women’s Division that became her legacy. Hirut was charged not only with establishing the OAU’s Women’s Division but with leading it. When Africa prepared its case for the United Nations’ Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing in 1995, it was Hirut who coordinated the drafting of the “African Platform for Action”, distilling the views of women gathered from across the continent, and who helped organise the participation of nearly ten thousand African women delegates at the conference. It was, by any measure, one of the largest acts of continental coordination on behalf of African women in the organisation’s history.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 16px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 30px 0 12px">Addis, Asmara and Florence</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">She had been formed for such work long before she chose it. Educated at the Sandford English School in Addis Ababa, at Haile Selassie Secondary School in Asmara, and at Kokebe Tsibah — where she was one of the first two young women to graduate — she went on to read social and political science at Haile Selassie I University, among its first graduates after it became a university, and took a master’s degree in international relations at the University of Florence.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Hers was a household steeped in the wider world. Her father, German-educated, served as a provincial governor, as chief of protocol at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and ultimately as Ethiopia’s ambassador to the United Kingdom; her mother, too, was educated in Europe. The eldest of six children, Hirut moved from city to city and country to country, and where she could not follow her parents she lived with an aunt rather than break her schooling.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Her ancestry ran the length of the country. She was descended from Hakim Workneh Eshete, the pioneering Ethiopian physician and statesman, and from Ras Gobena Dacche, the formidable nineteenth-century general — a lineage joining the north of Ethiopia to the south, as her own life and labour would. And hers was a family that seemed to bring forth remarkable women in every generation: the great educator Adey Befikadu; her sister Rosemary; the late journalist Elenee Mekuria; and the late Rachel Mekuria, who pioneered broadcasting education in Ethiopia, headed the Educational Television Production Division and served as board president of the Young Women’s Christian Association. Hirut belonged to that company, and enlarged it.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 22px; color: #8B0000; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000; margin: 30px auto; padding: 18px 10px; max-width: 620px; line-height: 1.5"><p><em>She came to believe there was something to learn from every person she met — a conviction earned, not inherited.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Two influences marked her above all. There was a meticulous, beautifully turned-out father who could not abide disorder, from whom she inherited an eye for elegance and an ear for language. And there was her maternal grandmother, Qetselawork Tulu, whose intelligence and resilience she revered — a woman who had married an England-educated doctor, moved to India, and worked at his side as a nurse. A shy child, Hirut taught herself courage through drama, public debate and the university debating club, until the girl who had once shunned attention made her living by commanding it.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 16px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 30px 0 12px">Sierra Leone</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Her continental service did not end with the OAU. For six years she served as spokesperson and policy adviser to the United Nations Mission in Sierra Leone (UNAMSIL) — a charge entrusted to her by Kofi Annan, then Secretary-General of the United Nations, who knew her conviction and chose her for it. She carried her gift for clear, careful information into one of West Africa’s hardest conflicts, and into its most desperate hours. When hundreds of United Nations peacekeepers were seized and held hostage by rebel forces for seventy-five days, she was among those who laboured to win their release — and it was her voice, in the end, that carried the news of their freedom to the world. In the United Nations’ own record of those years she appears again and again, steadying the account through the mission’s most dangerous passages — the same discipline of fact she had practised in Addis Ababa, now exercised under fire.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 16px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; margin: 30px 0 12px">A Mother, and a Mentor</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">In retirement she described herself simply as a community volunteer. It was characteristically modest. I write these lines not only as this newspaper’s editor but as her son — one of the three boys she raised, who like everyone who loved her called her Abaye — and so I may say what an obituary alone would not: that the rigour and grace she carried to a continent she carried first, and most fully, into her own home.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Her husband of a lifetime, the engineer Getachew Abebe, had gone before her; she leaves their three sons — Samuel, Daniel, and the one who writes these words. But the family she leaves is larger than that — the colleagues she trained, the women whose place at the table she helped to secure, and the many of us who took her, without hesitation and without blood, as a mother of our own.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">She loved a difficult task and hated defeat. Africa was, for thirty-four years, her difficult task. She did not run from it. She faced it — and she gave it words.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">When the family last gathered around her, in November 2024, she surprised us, as she always could. Late in a life that had never stopped facing forward, she took delivery of her first car — and chose an electric one, because the future, to her mind, was a thing to be embraced rather than feared. We were delighted, and we made her promises about the cleaner, braver world we meant to help build. It was entirely like her: the woman who had introduced a young continent to the world, still reaching, even then, toward what came next.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Samuel, her firstborn, reached her after her first surgery and was with her as she recovered. Daniel and I were to follow in July. We did not reach her in time. These last months had taken from her, one after another, others she loved; and in the end, it seems, she chose to go on to those who had gone ahead of her — her husband among them — rather than wait for us. We would have crossed any distance for that visit. We make it now, in these words.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Today the words are mine, and they are not enough. Rest now, Abaye. We were proud beyond saying to be yours.</p>
<div style="text-align: center; margin: 34px auto 6px; max-width: 640px; border-top: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-top: 24px">
<p style="font-size: 17px; color: #333; margin: 0 0 16px; line-height: 1.65">In the faith that shaped the whole of her life, she was christened <span style="font-weight: bold">Hirute Silassie</span>. We ask all who knew her, and all who did not, to hold her in their prayers — that by the grace and the glory of God she be granted rest, and life everlasting.</p>
<p lang="am" style="font-size: 24px; color: #8B0000; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.5">እግዚአብሔር ነፍሷን ይማር።</p>
<p style="font-style: italic; font-size: 16px; color: #555; margin: 0"><em>May God remember His servant Hirute Silassie, and grant her soul eternal peace.</em></p>
<p style="font-style: italic; font-size: 16px; color: #555; margin: 0"><em><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/cbd227c6-df69-4000-8fc4-1d1948d47b48.jpg?resize=640%2C454&#038;ssl=1" class="size-full wp-image-4807" width="640" height="454" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/cbd227c6-df69-4000-8fc4-1d1948d47b48.jpg?w=874&amp;ssl=1 874w, https://i0.wp.com/ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/cbd227c6-df69-4000-8fc4-1d1948d47b48.jpg?resize=300%2C213&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/cbd227c6-df69-4000-8fc4-1d1948d47b48.jpg?resize=768%2C545&amp;ssl=1 768w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></em></p>
</div>
<p style="text-align: center; color: #B8860B; font-size: 22px; margin: 26px 0 6px">❦</p>
<p style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 15px; color: #555; margin: 0"><em>Hirut Befikadu — Hirute Silassie. Pioneering officer of the Organisation of African Unity. Died 22 June 2026.</em></p>
</div>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4803" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hirut-befikadu-the-woman-who-gave-africa-its-voice/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4803</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The System in Which Parties Lose</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-system-in-which-parties-lose/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-system-in-which-parties-lose/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 05:19:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4800</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[On the June morning a British prime minister with a landslide majority prepared to surrender power, Ethiopia certified a contest that almost no one lost. A study in what turnout figures conceal and what democracy actually demands.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>10 Minute, 40 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!-- The Ethiopian Tribune — WordPress-ready article. Paste into a Custom HTML block. All styles inline. --></p>
<div style="max-width:760px;margin:0 auto;font-family:'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Palatino,Georgia,serif;color:#1A1A1A;line-height:1.65;font-size:19px;">
<p style="text-align:center;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;letter-spacing:2px;color:#B8860B;text-transform:uppercase;margin:0 0 6px;">Analysis &middot; Democracy &amp; Accountability</p>
<h1 style="text-align:center;font-size:42px;line-height:1.15;color:#8B0000;font-weight:bold;margin:0 0 14px;">The System in Which Parties Lose</h1>
<p style="text-align:center;font-style:italic;font-size:20px;color:#1A1A1A;border-bottom:2px solid #8B0000;padding-bottom:16px;margin:0 0 14px;">On the June morning a British prime minister with a landslide majority prepared to surrender power, Ethiopia certified a contest that almost no one lost. A study in what turnout figures conceal &mdash; and what democracy actually demands.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;font-weight:bold;font-size:17px;letter-spacing:1px;margin:0 0 26px;">By E. Frashie</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;"><span style="float:left;font-size:74px;line-height:0.78;font-weight:bold;color:#8B0000;padding:6px 10px 0 0;">O</span>n the morning these words were set down, Sir Keir Starmer &mdash; barely two years into a Labour government returned with a Commons majority of around 172 seats, among the largest in modern British history &mdash; was widely reported to be arranging the choreography of his own departure. British newspapers said he had concluded, after consultations with cabinet colleagues, party donors and union leaders, that his position was no longer tenable, and would set out a timetable for an orderly exit. Across the Atlantic, the President of the United States had pre-empted him, announcing on his own platform that the British leader &ldquo;will resign&rdquo; &mdash; a breach of protocol that commentators in London called a final humiliation.<sup>1</sup></p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">What undid Starmer was not the loss of a general election. He still holds his majority in the Commons; no one has out-voted him at the national ballot. What undid him was a cascade of lesser verdicts. Catastrophic local-election results in which Labour shed more than eleven hundred council seats. The surge of Nigel Farage&rsquo;s Reform UK, now a fixture at the head of the polls. A by-election won decisively by a rival from his own benches, Andy Burnham. And, finally, the cold arithmetic of more than ninety Labour members of parliament concluding that he could no longer hold together the coalition that had carried them to power.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">It was his <em>authority</em> that drained away, not his honesty. He stands accused of no personal wrongdoing; the scandal that shadowed his final months &mdash; the appointment, since reversed, of an envoy with ties to a convicted sex offender &mdash; bruised his judgement rather than his conduct. But a leader&rsquo;s mandate is a perishable thing, and in a working democracy a spent mandate is fatal to the office-holder even when it is survivable for the office. Hold that image &mdash; a prime minister with a parliamentary supermajority forced out by the judgement of voters and the nerve of his own party &mdash; and turn to Addis Ababa.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align:center;font-style:italic;font-size:23px;color:#8B0000;border-top:3px solid #8B0000;border-bottom:3px solid #8B0000;padding:18px 24px;margin:26px 0;"><p>Democracy, the political scientist Adam Przeworski wrote, is a system in which parties lose elections. By that test, what Ethiopia declared this month was not a democratic event but its photographic negative.</p></blockquote>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">The test Przeworski set</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">Three traditions in political theory tell us what an election is for, and the distance between them is where this month&rsquo;s result lives. The minimalist school, descending from Joseph Schumpeter, reduces democracy to a method: a genuine competitive struggle between rival elites for the people&rsquo;s vote. The procedural school, built on Robert Dahl&rsquo;s idea of polyarchy, sets out the institutional guarantees that make such a struggle real &mdash; free and fair and recurring elections, freedom of expression, alternative sources of information, the freedom to organise, an inclusive franchise, and officials who actually wield the power they are elected to.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">But it is Adam Przeworski who gives the sharpest single line. Democracy, he argued, is distinguished by one feature above all others: the institutionalised uncertainty of its outcomes. It is the system in which incumbents can lose, and sometimes do. The test is not whether a vote is held, nor even how many turn out for it, but whether the result was ever genuinely in doubt &mdash; and whether, having lost, the powerful actually surrender what they held. By that measure Westminster, for all its present squalor, was staging a democratic event this week. Addis Ababa was not.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">The arithmetic of unanimity</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">The National Election Board of Ethiopia certified the 7th General Election with an average turnout of 96.2 per cent of registered voters, ranging from 94 per cent in the Somali and Afar regions to 99 per cent in Harari.<sup>2</sup> Against that near-universal participation sat a near-universal verdict. The Prosperity Party took 523 of the 528 declared regional-council seats in Oromia, 257 of 277 in Amhara, and clean or near-clean sweeps almost everywhere else. In the federal House of Peoples&rsquo; Representatives the pattern repeated: 167 of 173 declared seats in Oromia, the great majority in every other region, with opposition parties and independents reduced to a scattering of single mandates.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">Set that pair of figures &mdash; almost everyone voting, almost everyone endorsing one party &mdash; against the most recent national elections in the established democracies, and the anomaly announces itself.</p>
<p style="font-weight:bold;color:#8B0000;font-size:18px;margin:0 0 8px;">Turnout and its meaning, by regime type</p>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:15px;margin:0 0 6px;">
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="background:#8B0000;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Band</th>
<th style="background:#8B0000;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Turnout logic</th>
<th style="background:#8B0000;color:#fff;text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Typical turnout</th>
<th style="background:#8B0000;color:#fff;text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Winner&rsquo;s seat share</th>
<th style="background:#8B0000;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Example (latest)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Competitive multiparty</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Civic duty and mobilisation</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">55&ndash;66%</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Fragmented; alternation</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">UK 59.7% &middot; US 63.7% &middot; India 65.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Exceptional mobilisation</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">High-stakes surge</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">80&ndash;85%</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Coalition, no sweep</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Germany 82.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Compulsory-voting democracy</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Participation by law</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">88&ndash;92%</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Still fragmented</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Australia &middot; Belgium</td>
</tr>
<tr style="background:#F0E6C8;">
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;font-weight:bold;color:#8B0000;">Electoral authoritarian / dominant-party</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Administrative mobilisation</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;font-weight:bold;">90&ndash;99%</td>
<td style="text-align:center;padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;">Near-total sweep</td>
<td style="padding:9px 11px;border:1px solid #D8C9A0;font-weight:bold;color:#8B0000;">Rwanda 98.2% &middot; Ethiopia 96.2%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p style="font-style:italic;font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 22px;">Latest national elections. Turnout uses differing denominators across systems and is indicative, not exact.<sup>3</sup></p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">The competitive democracies cluster in the low-to-mid sixties: the United Kingdom at 59.7 per cent in 2024, the United States at roughly 63.7, India &mdash; the largest electoral exercise on earth &mdash; at 65.8. Only an extraordinary mobilisation lifts a free system into the eighties, as Germany reached 82.5 per cent this year. The sole established democracies that routinely clear ninety are those where the law compels attendance, as in Australia and Belgium; and there the high turnout still yields fragmented parliaments and alternating governments. Ethiopia compels no one to vote. The company its figure keeps is elsewhere: Rwanda, where President Kagame was returned last year with 99 per cent of the vote on a turnout of 98 per cent.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">What turnout conceals</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">The reason the comparison cuts is that turnout means opposite things in different systems. In a competitive democracy, participation is explained by the economists&rsquo; paradox of voting &mdash; a single ballot is almost never decisive, so people vote out of duty, habit and the sense that the contest matters &mdash; and by institutional design: compulsory voting, proportional representation, automatic registration, all of which lift the figure. In a dominant-party state, very high turnout measures something different again: the mobilising reach of the administration, the party and the public payroll, the social cost of being seen not to vote, and, in some cases, the elasticity of the figure itself. The same number, read in the two settings, carries contrary meanings.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">Ethiopia&rsquo;s own electoral history makes the point more forcefully than any foreign comparison can. The freest contest in the country&rsquo;s modern record &mdash; the election of 2005, when the opposition made real gains before the crackdown that followed &mdash; produced the <em>lowest</em> turnout of the era, around 82.6 per cent. The least competitive &mdash; the 2010 election, which returned the ruling front and its allies to all but two of 547 federal seats &mdash; was held on a turnout above 93 per cent.<sup>4</sup> The more genuine the choice on offer, the fewer came; the more foregone the conclusion, the larger the crowd. Read in that order, the figures stop flattering and begin to confess.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align:center;font-style:italic;font-size:23px;color:#8B0000;border-top:3px solid #8B0000;border-bottom:3px solid #8B0000;padding:18px 24px;margin:26px 0;"><p>The freest election in Ethiopia&rsquo;s modern history produced its lowest turnout. The least free produced near-unanimity. Enthusiasm does not explain numbers that move in that direction.</p></blockquote>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">The universal criteria</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">There is no single global registrar of democracies, but three bodies function as the working consensus, and on Ethiopia they converge. The V-Dem Institute, whose framework is built directly on Dahl&rsquo;s polyarchy, classifies Ethiopia as an electoral autocracy &mdash; a state that holds multiparty elections but lacks the freedoms of expression and association that make them meaningful &mdash; with an Electoral Democracy Index score of 0.263 on a scale to one. Freedom House rates the country Not Free, and names it explicitly among a small group of states that have fallen from Partly Free to Not Free on the strength of manipulated elections since 2005. The Economist Intelligence Unit places it in the lowest of its four bands, the authoritarian regimes.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">These are not the verdicts of Ethiopia&rsquo;s domestic opposition, who might be discounted, but of three independent international monitors applying published criteria to the same facts. They reached their classifications before this month&rsquo;s vote. The 96.2 per cent does not unsettle that picture; it illustrates it.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">Elections without democracy</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">The scholarship has a name for the species. Andreas Schedler called it &ldquo;electoral authoritarianism&rdquo; &mdash; the regime that no longer cancels the vote but instead rigs the conditions around it, deploying what he called a menu of manipulation: disqualifying inconvenient candidates, controlling the media and the count, harnessing the resources of the state, and manufacturing the appearance of consent. Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way mapped the same terrain as &ldquo;competitive authoritarianism,&rdquo; where elections are real enough to matter yet tilted enough that the opposition cannot win. In this literature a landslide on a near-total turnout is not the refutation of the diagnosis. It is the diagnosis.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">The tell is never the polling day alone. Electoral integrity, as Pippa Norris insists, must hold across the whole cycle &mdash; the drawing of boundaries, the registration of voters, the eligibility of candidates, the freedom of the campaign and the press, the casting, the counting and the resolution of disputes. A flawless count behind a curated ballot is not a free election; it is a well-run formality. The question to ask of Ethiopia&rsquo;s 96.2 per cent is not whether the sums add up, but whether anyone was ever permitted to make them come out differently.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:18px;color:#B8860B;border-bottom:2px solid #B8860B;padding-bottom:6px;margin:34px 0 14px;">The price of accountability</h2>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">Which returns us to London, and to the spectacle that prompted these reflections. By one reading it is a portrait of dysfunction: a governing party devouring its own leader; a prime minister with a historic majority driven out within two years; the sixth occupant of Downing Street to depart in a single decade; a foreign president crowing over the wreckage. Stability it is not.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">But the churn <em>is</em> the accountability. The reason a British prime minister can be felled by council results and a restless backbench is that the mandate is real, and therefore revocable. Power in that system is held on terms, and the terms can be enforced &mdash; messily, humiliatingly, but enforced. The Ethiopian prime minister faces no such hazard, not because he is more loved than his British counterpart, but because the mechanism that could translate disaffection into consequence has been hollowed of its content. The 96.2 per cent is the measure of that hollowing. A leader who cannot lose is a leader who need not listen.</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 16px;">So the two events of this June week belong together. In one country, an election that produced near-perfect agreement and changed nothing. In another, results that produced no clear winner of anything and brought down a government. Unanimity is not the higher form of democracy; it is, more often, the sign of its absence. Where parties cannot lose, the people have not yet been given the one power that makes the rest worth counting. By Przeworski&rsquo;s plain test, the messy capital had the democratic week. The orderly one merely held a vote.</p>
<h3 style="text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;font-size:15px;color:#B8860B;border-top:2px solid #B8860B;padding-top:10px;margin:34px 0 8px;">A note on sources</h3>
<ol style="font-size:14px;color:#555;line-height:1.6;padding-left:20px;margin:0;">
<li style="margin-bottom:6px;">Reporting on the British leadership crisis follows <em>The Observer</em>, the BBC, Reuters and the Associated Press, 20&ndash;22 June 2026. At the time of writing a formal statement was widely expected but not officially confirmed; Downing Street pointed to the prime minister&rsquo;s earlier insistence that he remained focused on the job.</li>
<li style="margin-bottom:6px;">Official figures from the National Election Board of Ethiopia&rsquo;s declaration of the 7th General Election. Turnout is reported against registered voters, the NEBE denominator.</li>
<li style="margin-bottom:6px;">Comparative turnout: UK House of Commons Library (2024); University of Florida Election Lab and US Census Bureau (2024); Election Commission of India (2024); the Federal Returning Officer, Germany (2025). Denominators differ across jurisdictions; the bands, not the decimals, carry the argument.</li>
<li style="margin-bottom:6px;">Classifications: V-Dem Democracy Report 2025/2026 (Electoral Democracy Index 0.263; &lsquo;electoral autocracy&rsquo;); Freedom House, <em>Freedom in the World</em> 2025/2026 (&lsquo;Not Free&rsquo;); Economist Intelligence Unit Democracy Index (&lsquo;authoritarian regime&rsquo;). Ethiopian historical turnout: IFES Election Guide. Theory: Schumpeter (1942); Dahl (1971); Przeworski (1991); Schedler (2002); Levitsky &amp; Way (2010); Norris (2014).</li>
</ol>
</div>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4800" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-system-in-which-parties-lose/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4800</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>ሁለት ደኖች፣ አንድ ሒሳብ</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4797/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4797/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2026 11:06:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[ማህበራዊ ጉዳዮች]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ሰበር ዜና]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ዘገባዎች በአማርኛ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethionews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያን ትሪቢውን]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4797</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[ሁለት ደኖች፣ አንድ ሒሳብ — The Ethiopian Tribune THE ETHIOPIAN TRIBUNE ትንታኔ · አካባቢና የፖለቲካ...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>10 Minute, 39 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!DOCTYPE html><br />
<html lang="am"><br />
<head><br />
<meta charset="UTF-8"><br />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"><br />
<title>ሁለት ደኖች፣ አንድ ሒሳብ — The Ethiopian Tribune</title>
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com">
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.gstatic.com" crossorigin>
<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Noto+Serif+Ethiopic:wght@400;600;700&#038;display=swap" rel="stylesheet">
<style>
  :root{
    --crimson:#7b1113;
    --crimson-deep:#5e0d0e;
    --gold:#c9a227;
    --ink:#1b1b1b;
    --paper:#fbf8f1;
    --rule:#e3dccb;
  }
  *{box-sizing:border-box;}
  body{
    margin:0;
    background:var(--paper);
    color:var(--ink);
    font-family:"Noto Serif Ethiopic","Nyala","Abyssinica SIL",Georgia,serif;
    font-size:19px;
    line-height:1.85;
  }
  .wrap{max-width:730px;margin:0 auto;padding:54px 26px 96px;}
  .masthead{text-align:center;border-bottom:3px double var(--crimson);padding-bottom:14px;margin-bottom:34px;}
  .masthead .pub{letter-spacing:.18em;color:var(--crimson);font-size:16px;font-weight:700;}
  .masthead .rubric{color:var(--gold);font-size:13px;margin-top:6px;letter-spacing:.04em;}
  h1{font-size:44px;line-height:1.28;margin:6px 0 16px;color:var(--crimson-deep);font-weight:700;}
  .standfirst{font-size:21px;line-height:1.7;color:#3a3a3a;margin:0 0 22px;font-weight:400;}
  .byline{font-size:15px;color:#555;border-top:1px solid var(--rule);border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);padding:10px 0;margin:0 0 34px;letter-spacing:.02em;}
  .byline b{color:var(--crimson);font-weight:700;}
  p{margin:0 0 19px;text-align:justify;}
  p.first{margin-top:0;}
  p.first::first-letter{float:left;font-size:62px;line-height:.9;padding:6px 12px 0 0;color:var(--crimson);font-weight:700;}
  h2{font-size:21px;color:var(--crimson);margin:42px 0 16px;padding-bottom:6px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--gold);font-weight:700;}
  blockquote{margin:30px 0;padding:6px 0 6px 26px;border-left:4px solid var(--gold);font-size:24px;line-height:1.55;color:var(--crimson-deep);font-weight:600;}
  .ledger{margin:30px 0;border-top:2px solid var(--crimson);border-bottom:2px solid var(--crimson);padding:18px 0;}
  .ledger .row{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;gap:18px;padding:9px 0;border-bottom:1px dotted var(--rule);font-size:17px;}
  .ledger .row:last-child{border-bottom:none;}
  .ledger .lbl{color:#444;}
  .ledger .val{color:var(--crimson-deep);font-weight:700;text-align:right;}
  .end{text-align:center;color:var(--gold);font-size:22px;margin:42px 0 10px;letter-spacing:.3em;}
  .footnote{font-size:14px;color:#666;line-height:1.7;border-top:1px solid var(--rule);padding-top:18px;}
  a{color:var(--crimson);}
</style>
<p></head><br />
<body></p>
<div class="wrap">
<div class="masthead">
<div class="pub">THE ETHIOPIAN TRIBUNE</div>
<div class="rubric">ትንታኔ · አካባቢና የፖለቲካ ምጣኔ-ሀብት</div>
</p></div>
<h1>ሁለት ደኖች፣ አንድ ሒሳብ</h1>
<p class="standfirst">የአረንጓዴ አሻራ ትዕይንት ለካሜራ ይተክላል፤ የራሱንም ስኬት ራሱ ይቆጥራል። ገንዘቡ ግን የሚገኘው ካሜራዎቹ ፈጽሞ በማይዞሩበት ቦታ ነው — እና ጦርነትን ተቋቁሞ ሙሉ ሆኖ የተረፈው ብቸኛው የመልሶ ማልማት ሥራ፣ ከሠሩት ሰዎች በቀር ማንም ያልያዘው ነው።</p>
<div class="byline">በ <b>E. Frashie</b> &nbsp;·&nbsp; ዘ ኢትዮጵያን ትሪቡን</div>
<p class="first">በየክረምቱ ሪፐብሊኩ አንድ ዓይነት ሥርዓተ-ቅዳሴ ያከናውናል። ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ — በስለላ መዋቅር ውስጥ አልፎ፣ በቀድሞው ኢሕአዴግ ማሽን አድጎ፣ ቀጥሎም ራሱንና መንግሥቱን በአረንጓዴ ዕድሳት ቀለም ያደሰው ለዘብተኛ-ቃል ሌተና ኮሎኔል — ችግኝና ሥነ-ሥርዓታዊ አካፋ ይይዛል፤ ከኋላውም ሚኒስትሮች፣ ዲፕሎማቶችና ጎብኚ የመንግሥት መሪዎች ተመሳሳዩን ያደርጋሉ። የድሮን ምስሎች አሉ። የሚሰበር ሪከርድ አለ። በ2019 ለዓለም የቀረበው አኃዝ በአንድ ቀን 350 ሚሊዮን ችግኞች ነበር — የህንድን የቀድሞ ሪከርድ ያደቀቀ፣ እና በመላው ዓለም — ብዙ ጊዜ ያለ ጥያቄ — የተዘገበ አኃዝ። የዘንድሮው ሥነ-ሥርዓት የተከፈተው የናይጄሪያ ምክትል ፕሬዚዳንት በተገኙበት ነበር፤ መሪ-ቃሉ “በመትከል ዕድሳት” የሚል ሲሆን፣ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩም ዘመቻው ሲጠናቀቅ ኢትዮጵያ ዳግመኛ የምግብ እርዳታ እንደማትቀበል ቃል ገብተዋል። እንደ ትዕይንት፣ በእውነት አስደናቂ ነው። ይህ ጋዜጣ የሚያሳስበው ግን ካሜራዎቹ ከታጠፉ በኋላ ምን እንደሚሆን ነው — እና ይበልጥ ደግሞ፣ ማን ይጠቀማል፣ ማን ይቆጥራል፣ እና ከአገሪቱ ሁለት ተፎካካሪ ደኖች የትኛው በትክክል እውን ነው የሚለው።</p>
<p>ምክንያቱም ሁለት ናቸው። ከመሬት በላይ ያለ ደን አለ፦ ችግኞቹ፣ የመትከያ ቀኖቹ፣ የተበሰሩት ቢሊዮኖች — እንደ የትኛው ይፋዊ ቆጠራ እንደሚወሰድ፣ ከ25 እስከ 40 ቢሊዮን የሚደርሱ — እና ብሔራዊ የደን ሽፋን በ2019 ከነበረበት 17.2 በመቶ ዛሬ ወደ 23.6 በመቶ ከፍ ብሏል የሚለው ይገባበታል። ከመሬት በታች ያለ ደንም አለ፦ በመንደርተኞች፣ በግብርና ባለሙያዎችና በጥቂት መንግሥታዊ ያልሆኑ ድርጅቶች የተከናወነው ቀርፋፋ፣ ጸጥ ያለ፣ ለካሜራ የማይመች የመልሶ ማልማት ሥራ — በብዙ ጊዜ አንድም ችግኝ ሳይተክሉ፣ ትዕይንቱ ካስገኘው በላይ ዘላቂ ውጤት ያስገኙ። የአረንጓዴ አሻራን ፖለቲካ ለመረዳት ሁለቱንም ደኖች በአንድ ጊዜ ማየት ያስፈልጋል — መንግሥት የቱን እንደሚያሳይህ፣ የቱንም በጥልቀት እንዳትመለከት እንደሚፈልግ ማስተዋልም ይገባል።</p>
<h2>መንግሥት በትክክል የሚያገኘው ምንድን ነው</h2>
<p>ቅጠላ ቅጠሉን ስታነሳ፣ ለመንግሥት የሚገኘው ጥቅም በሦስት ክፍሎች ይከፈላል፤ ከእነዚህም አንዱ ብቻ ነው አካባቢያዊ የሆነው። የመጀመሪያው የአገር ውስጥ ህጋዊነት ነው። የእርስ በርስ ጦርነት፣ ሰፊ መፈናቀልና የተንኮታኮተ ምንዛሬ የመራ መንግሥት፣ ለመትከያ ቀን ያህል ጊዜ፣ በዚያ ፈንታ ሚሊዮኖች ዜጎች — መንግሥት እንደሚለው ሀያ ሚሊዮን — እንደ አንድ የሚሳተፉበትን የአገር ዕድሳት ምስል ሊመራ ይችላል። ሁለተኛው የውጭ ጉዳይ ፖሊሲ ነው። አረንጓዴ አሻራ የኢትዮጵያ እጅግ ወደ ውጭ የሚላክ የለዘብተኛ-ኃይል ምርት ነው — አዲስ አበባን ከኬንያ፣ ሩዋንዳና ጋና ጋር በአንድ ዓረፍተ-ነገር የሚያስቀምጥ፣ ጎብኚ ባለሥልጣናትን ወደ ፎቶው የሚስብ፣ እና አገሪቱ በሌላ ጊዜ እንደ ለማኝ በምትቀርብበት የአየር ንብረት ጉባኤዎች ላይ አድናቆት የሚያስገኝ የፓን-አፍሪካ ብራንድ። “በሚቀጥለው ዓመት” የምግብ እርዳታን የማቆም ቃል-ኪዳን፣ ቀጥታ ለዚህ ታዳሚ የተሰነዘረ ነው።</p>
<p>ሦስተኛው ክፍል ገንዘብ ነው፤ የሕዝብ ግንዛቤ እጅግ የቀጠነውም እዚሁ ጋ ነው — በከፊል ሆን ተብሎ። ታዋቂው ግምት የመትከያ ቀኖቹ ራሳቸው፣ በሆነ መንገድ፣ ወደ ጥሬ ገንዘብ ይቀየራሉ የሚል ነው፦ ቢሊዮኖቹን ትከል፣ ካርቦኑን ሽጥ፣ ገቢውን አስቀምጥ። ነገሩ እንዲህ አይደለም የሚሠራው፤ በምን እንደሚታሰበውና በትክክል እንዴት እንደሚሠራ መካከል ያለው ልዩነትም ስለ መላው ሥራ ከሁሉ የበለጠ ገላጭ ነገር ነው።</p>
<h2>የካርቦን ገንዘብ፣ በዝርዝር</h2>
<p>ዋነኛው የካርቦን ፋይናንስ የሚመነጨው ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ በካሜራ ፊት ከሚተክላቸው ችግኞች አይደለም። የሚፈሰው “የኦሮሚያ ደናማ መልክዓ-ምድር መርሐ-ግብር” (Oromia Forested Landscape Programme) በተባለ የተለየ፣ ቴክኒካዊ፣ ሆነ ብሎ ያልተዋበ መሣሪያ በኩል ነው — መላውን የኦሮሚያ ክልል የሚሸፍን፣ ከ2017 ጀምሮ ከዓለም ባንክ ጋር የተዘጋጀ የጁሪስዲክሽን REDD+ ዕቅድ። ፌብሩዋሪ 9 ቀን 2023፣ የፌዴራል መንግሥትና የዓለም ባንክ የባዮካርቦን ፈንድ እስከ 40 ሚሊዮን የአሜሪካ ዶላር የሚደርስ “የልቀት ቅነሳ ግዢ ስምምነት” (ERPA) ተፈራረሙ — እስከ 2030 ድረስ ለሚቀርብ ወደ 4 ሚሊዮን ቶን ለሚጠጋ የካርቦን-ዳይኦክሳይድ-አቻ ቅነሳ የሚከፈል።</p>
<p>ይህን ስልት በጥንቃቄ አንብበው፤ ምክንያቱም ማታለያው በዝርዝሩ ውስጥ ይኖራል። REDD+ ለምትተክላቸው ዛፎች አይከፍልም። የሚከፍለው ላስቀረኸው ልቀት ነው — ላልተፈጸመ የደን ጭፍጨፋ፣ ለቀዘቀዘ የደን መመናመን፣ ቆሞ ለቀረ የካርቦን ክምችት — በመላው ጁሪስዲክሽን፣ ከመነሻ መለኪያ አንጻር። የእሴት መለኪያው በፎቶ ላይ ያለ ችግኝ አይደለም፤ ይልቁንም ገለልተኛ ሦስተኛ-ወገን ኦዲተር በባንኩ ስልት መሠረት ወደ ከባቢ አየር አልገባም ብሎ የሚያረጋግጠው አንድ ቶን ካርቦን ነው። የመርሐ-ግብሩ የመጀመሪያ የክትትል ሪፖርት፣ ይህ በሚጻፍበት ጊዜ፣ በትክክል በዚያው የውጭ ማረጋገጫ ሂደት ላይ ይገኛል፤ የመጀመሪያው ክፍያም በ2026 መጀመሪያ እንደሚፈጸምና በተደራደረ የጥቅም ክፍፍል እቅድ መሠረት እንደሚከፋፈል ይጠበቃል።</p>
<blockquote><p>ገንዘቡ የሚገኘው በትክክል ካሜራዎች በሌሉበት ቦታ ነው። ትዕይንቱ ማስታወቂያ ነው፤ REDD+ ግን ደረሰኝ ነው — ደረሰኙም መንግሥት በማይቆጣጠረው ወገን ይመረመራል።</p></blockquote>
<p>ይህ መንግሥት ሊያስተዋውቀው የማይቸኩልበትን ጸጥ ያለ ምፀት ይፈጥራል። ከመላው ሕንጻ እውነተኛ የውጭ ምርመራ የተደረገበት ብቸኛው ክፍል — የካርቦን ሒሳቡ — በስፋት ከሚመሰገንበት የመትከያ ትዕይንት ፈጽሞ የተለየ ነገርን ይለካል። የመንግሥት መገናኛ ብዙኃን በተናጠል ከካርቦን ንግድ በአጠቃላይ 70 ሚሊዮን ዶላር ገደማ ተገኝቷል ብለዋል — ይህ የተለያዩ የሁለትዮሽና የብዝሃ-ወገን ዝግጅቶችን አጣምሮ የያዘ ጥቅል አኃዝ ሲሆን፣ እንደ ተረጋገጠ እውነታ ሳይሆን እንደ መንግሥት ይገባኛል ሊወሰድ ይገባል። ሊረጋገጥ የሚችለው መሣሪያ የ40 ሚሊዮን ዶላሩ የኦሮሚያ ስምምነት ሲሆን፣ የሚሸልመውም ቆሞ ያለውን ደን የማቆየት አሰልቺ ግን ዘላቂ ሥራ ነው — የሪከርድ-ሰባሪ የመትከያ ቀን ጩኸትን አይደለም።</p>
<div class="ledger">
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">የተባለው የአረንጓዴ አሻራ ችግኝ (2019–2025)</span><span class="val">25–40 ቢሊዮን</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">የተባለ ብሔራዊ የደን ሽፋን፣ 2019 → 2025</span><span class="val">17.2% → 23.6%</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">የኦሮሚያ REDD+ ERPA (ዓለም ባንክ፣ 2023)</span><span class="val">እስከ $40ሚ / ~4 ሚ.ቶን CO₂e</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">የሚሸለመው</span><span class="val">የተቀረ የደን ጭፍጨፋ እንጂ መትከል አይደለም</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">ካርቦኑን ማን ያረጋግጣል</span><span class="val">ገለልተኛ ሦስተኛ ወገን</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">የመትከል ቆጠራውን ማን ያረጋግጣል</span><span class="val">መንግሥት ራሱ</span></div>
</p></div>
<h2>ስንት ዛፎች ጸደቁ — እና ማን ይቆጥራል?</h2>
<p>ይህ ትዕይንቱ ሊያስቀረው የተዘጋጀለት ጥያቄ ነው። የመንግሥት አቋም ወጥ ነው፦ የመጽደቅ ምጣኔ ከ80 በመቶ በላይ፣ አንዳንዴም 85። ከጁላይ 2022 እስከ ጁላይ 2023 ተተከሉ ለሚላቸው 7.5 ቢሊዮን ችግኞች፣ ይፋዊው የመጽደቅ አኃዝ 85 በመቶ ነበር። ችግሩ ግን ከመንግሥት ውጭ ያለ ማንም እንዲያረጋግጠው አለመፈቀዱ ነው፤ ለመሞከር የሞከሩ ሁሉ ማለት ይቻላል ዝቅ ያለ አኃዝ ላይ ደርሰዋል።</p>
<p>በኢትዮጵያ ራሷ የአካባቢ ኮሚሽን ውስጥ ያሉ ምንጮች ለአንድ ምርመራ እንደተናገሩት ለዚያ ስብስብ እውነተኛው የመጽደቅ ምጣኔ 50 በመቶ ላይበልጥ ይችላል። የተባበሩት መንግሥታት የመስክ መረጃ በአማራና በትግራይ ደጋማ አካባቢዎች መጽደቅን በቅደም ተከተል 55 እና 58 በመቶ ገደማ አስቀምጧል — በሙቀት፣ በቀጭን ዝናብና በተከታይ እንክብካቤ መጥፋት የተበላሸ። አንድ በአቻ-ምሁራን የተገመገመ የአስተዳደር ጥናት ይበልጥ ግልጽ ነበር፦ እነዚህ ዘመቻዎች በመደበኛ መንገድ አይከታተሉም፤ የመስክ ምልከታም ከይፋዊው ይገባኛል በእጅጉ ዝቅ ያለ መጽደቅን ያመለክታል። ታሪካዊው መዝገብም ብዙ ማጽናኛ የለውም — ከ1970ዎቹ እስከ 1990ዎቹ የነበሩ የኢትዮጵያ የመትከያ መርሐ-ግብሮች ከ20 በመቶ በታች መጽደቅ መዝግበዋል — ዓለም አቀፉ ዝንባሌም የከፋ ነው፦ ሰፋፊ የመትከያ ዘመቻዎች በመደበኛነት ከ60 እስከ 90 በመቶ ይከሽፋሉ። የቱርክ ዝነኛው የ11 ሚሊዮን ዛፍ ቀን በ2019፣ በራሱ የደን ባለሙያዎች ማኅበር ግምት፣ በወራት ውስጥ እስከ ዘጠኝ-አስረኛውን አጥቶ ነበር።</p>
<p>መሠረታዊው ችግር ዛፎች መሞታቸው አይደለም፤ ዛፎች ሁልጊዜ በተወሰነ መጠን ይሞታሉ። ችግሩ በአረንጓዴ አሻራ ሞዴል ውስጥ አንድ ተዋናይ ግቡን ያስቀምጣል፣ መትከሉን ያስተባብራል፣ ቆጠራውን ይፈጽማል፣ ውጤቱን ያውጃል፣ ቀጥሎም ለዓለም ያስተዋውቀዋል። ግልጽ የሆነ የሕዝብ መከታተያ ሥርዓት የለም። ከቢሊዮኖቹ ስንቱ ጠንካራ ሀገር-በቀል ዝርያ እንደነበረ፣ ስንቱም ባህር ዛፍ — የተራቆተ መሬት የሚተነፍስለትን የውሃ ሽፋን የሚመጥጥ ያ ጥም-ያለው የቅኝ-ግዛት አስመጪ ዝርያ — እንደነበረ የታተመ ዝርዝር የለም። መንግሥት ፎቶውንም ያነሳል፣ መግለጫውንም ይጽፋል። በመላው ሥርዓቱ ውስጥ ብቸኛው የውጭ ኦዲተር፣ እንዳየነው፣ የካርቦን-ፋይናንስ አረጋጋጩ ነው — እሱም በመላው ኦሮሚያ የተቀረ የደን ጭፍጨፋን ይለካል እንጂ ሚኒስትሩ በጁላይ መሬት ውስጥ የጨመረው ችግኝ በዲሴምበር ሕያው ይሁን አይሁን አይለካም። የትዕይንቱ መጽደቅ፣ በመጨረሻም፣ በራስ-የተረጋገጠ ነው።</p>
<h2>ቀድሞውኑ የነበረው ደን</h2>
<p>አሁን ሌላውን ደን አስብ — ለካሜራ የማይመቸውን። በትግራይ ደጋማው የደሳ አካባቢ፣ ወደ ዳናክል በሚወርደው ገደል ጫፍ ላይ፣ ከተዘጋ ጣራው ወደ 40 በመቶ ያህል ያጣ ደረቅ የአፍሮ-ተራራማ ደን መልሶ እያገገመ ነው። WeForest የተባለው ድርጅት፣ በ2019 ከክልሉ ግብርና ቢሮ ጋር በተፈረመ የመግባቢያ ሰነድ መሠረት በ38,000 ሄክታር ገደማ እየሠራ፣ የመትከያ ዘመቻዎች ፈጽሞ የማያደርጉትን አደረገ፦ ማንኛውንም ነገር መሬት ውስጥ ከመጨመሩ በፊት መሬቱን አስተካከለ። መንደርተኞች የመስመር ቦይዎችንና የውሃ ማስረጊያ ጉድጓዶችን ቆፈሩ፣ በመቶዎች የሚቆጠሩ ኪሎ ሜትሮችን የድንጋይ እርከኖችንም በእጅ ደረደሩ — ፕሮጀክቱ “ዝናብን መትከል” ብሎ የጠራው። በመላው ትግራይ ማኅበረሰቦች ወደ አንድ ሚሊዮን ሄክታር መሬት ለመመለስ በእጅ 90 ሚሊዮን ቶን ገደማ አፈርና ድንጋይ አንቀሳቅሰዋል — በዘመናዊ የአፍሪካ ታሪክ ከታዩት ትልልቅ በእጅ-የተሠሩ የምህንድስና ሥራዎች አንዱ፣ እና ከአገሪቱ ውጭ ማንም ያልሰማው።</p>
<p>ሁለተኛው እርምጃ ይበልጥ እንግዳ ነበር። በዚህ መልክዓ-ምድር ብዙ ክፍል ደኑ ሞቶ አያውቅም — ከመሬት በታች ነበር። ሀገር-በቀል ጥዶችና ወይራዎች፣ መቶ ጊዜ ተግጠው ተቃጥለው፣ እንደ ሕያው ስርወ-ግንድ — ከመሬት በታች የሚጠብቁ ጥንታዊ ባዮሎጂያዊ ባትሪዎች — ሆነው ይተርፋሉ። እነዚህን መልሰው ወደ ላይ የማውጣት ስልት — ከችግኝ ጣቢያ ችግኝ ገዝቶ ከመትከል ይልቅ ካለ ስርወ-ግንድ ጠንካራ ቡቃያዎችን መከርከም — “በገበሬ የሚመራ የተፈጥሮ ዳግም ማገገም” (FMNR) ይባላል። አውስትራሊያዊው የግብርና ባለሙያ ቶኒ ሪናውዶ ይህን በ1983 በኒጀር አበጀው — ከዓመታት የከሸፈ መትከል በኋላ፣ በመንገድ ዳር ያለን “ቁጥቋጦ” በቅጡ ለመመልከት ቆም ብሎ፣ ስሩ አሁንም ሕያው የሆነ የተቆረጠ ዛፍ ጫፍ መሆኑን ሲረዳ። በ2018 የ Right Livelihood ሽልማትን — አማራጩን ኖቤል — ተቀበለ። በኒጀር ብቻ ስልቱ አምስት ሚሊዮን ሄክታርና 200 ሚሊዮን ገደማ ዛፎችን መልሶ አረንጓዴ አድርጓል፣ ሁለት ነጥብ አምስት ሚሊዮን ሰዎችንም ተጠቃሚ አድርጓል፣ በሄክታር ሀያ ዶላር ገደማ ወጪ።</p>
<p>ያንን የመጨረሻ አኃዝ ከትዕይንቱ ራሱ ሒሳብ ጋር አስቀምጠው። በመንግሥት መገናኛ ብዙኃን በተዘገበና ለመነሻ ኮሚቴው ራሱ በተሰጠ ወጪ መሠረት፣ አረንጓዴ አሻራ በአንድ <em>ችግኝ</em> ሀያ ዶላር ገደማ ሲያወጣ ቆይቷል። ያ አኃዝ በመጠኑም ቢሆን ትክክል ከሆነ፣ ያው ሀያ ዶላር ወይ የመጽደቅ ዕድሉ እንደ ሳንቲም-መወርወር የሆነ አንድ ለካሜራ የሚመች ችግኝ ይገዛል፣ አሊያም ቀድሞውኑ መሬት ውስጥ ካለ ስር ሙሉ አንድ ሄክታር ደን ይመልሳል — በሚገባ በሚተዳደሩ የዳግም ማገገም ፕሮጀክቶች ከ90 በመቶ የሚበልጥ የመጽደቅ ምጣኔ። ይህ የመላው ጽሑፍ ክርክር በአንድ ንጽጽር የተጨመቀ ነው።</p>
<blockquote><p>“መሬቱ ሞቶ አያውቅም። እኛ ብቻ ማዳመጥ አቆምን።”</p></blockquote>
<p>ቀጥሎም ማንኛውም የፖሊሲ ጽሑፍ ሊቀርጸው የማይችለው ፈተና መጣ። በኖቬምበር 2020 ጦርነት ትግራይን ሲውጥ፣ ዓለም አቀፍ ድርጅቶች ለቀቁ፣ ፋይናንሱ ፈረሰ፣ ቴክኒካዊ ድጋፉ ጠፋ። በክልሉ የሚገኙ አብዛኞቹ በውጭ-የሚደገፉ ፕሮጀክቶች በቀላሉ ቆሙ። የደሳ ሥራ ግን አልቆመም። ቦይዎቹ አሁንም ተቆፈሩ፣ እርከኖቹ አሁንም ተጠገኑ፣ ስርወ-ግንዶቹም አሁንም ተከረከሙ — ምክንያቱም በዚያን ጊዜ ምን ማድረግ እንዳለበት ያለው ዕውቀት ከአንድ መንግሥታዊ-ያልሆነ ድርጅት ወይም ሚኒስቴር ጋር አልነበረም። በመሬቱ ላይ ከሚኖሩ ሰዎች ጋር ነበር። ከጦርነቱ በኋላ የተደረገ ግምገማ እንዳመለከተው፣ ብዙዎቹ በይበልጥ የለሙ አካባቢዎች ጦርነቱን ከመትረፍ አልፈው፣ ያለ ምንም የውጭ ድጋፍ በጦርነቱ ውስጥም መሻሻላቸውን ቀጥለዋል። በማኅበረሰብ የተያዘ የመልሶ ማልማት ሥራ ከሁለት ዓመት ጦርነት ይበልጥ ዘላቂ ሆነ። ይህ የአረንጓዴ አሻራ ትዕይንት፣ በሁሉም ቢሊዮኖቹ ቢሆን፣ ስለ ራሱ ሊጽፈው የማይችለው ዓረፍተ-ነገር ነው።</p>
<h2>እውነተኛው ሒሳብ</h2>
<p>ይህ ሁሉ አረንጓዴ አሻራን ከንቱ አያደርገውም፤ ትሪቡንም ይህን አያስመስልም። ዘመቻው፣ በአስተዋይነት፣ ማኅበረሰቦችን ቀጥታ ወደሚከፍለው የፍራፍሬና የመኖ ግብር-ደን ተሸጋግሯል፤ የገጠር ሥራ ፈጥሯል፤ መትከል በእውነት ለሚያስፈልጋት አገር ለሕዝብ ግንዛቤም እውነተኛ መልካም ነገር አድርጓል። የኦሮሚያ መርሐ-ግብሩ ራሱ ከ350 በላይ የማኅበረሰብ ህብረት ሥራ ማኅበራትና በተከታታይ መንግሥታዊ-ያልሆኑ ድርጅቶች — Farm Africa፣ World Vision፣ የእርጥብ-መሬት ማኅበር — በኩል ይሠራል፤ ይህም መንግሥትና የማኅበረሰብ ሞዴል ሁልጊዜ ጠላቶች አለመሆናቸውን ያሳያል። በአዲስ አበባ የተደረጉ የሀገር-በቀል ዝርያ ሙከራዎች፣ ማልች ማድረግ፣ ውሃ ማጠጣትና መከላከል የተባለው አሰልቺ ሥራ በትክክል ሲሠራ፣ ከ82 እስከ 96 በመቶ መጽደቅ መዝግበዋል። ነጥቡ ትዕይንቱ ምንም አያስገኝም ማለት አይደለም። ነጥቡ ከሁሉ በተሻለ በሚተገብርበት ቦታ ከሁሉ ባነሰ የሚመረመር፣ ከሁሉ በተሻለ በሚመረመርበት ቦታ ደግሞ ከሁሉ ባነሰ የሚተገብር መሆኑ ነው።</p>
<p>ስለዚህ ይህ የሁለት ደኖች ታሪክ ነው፤ እኩልም እውን አይደሉም። አንዱ በመግለጫዎች፣ በመትከያ-ቀን ሪከርዶችና በጎብኚ ዲፕሎማቶች መገኘት ይለካል፤ መጽደቁ በመንግሥት ቃል ይታመናል፤ ካርቦኑም፣ በሚመች ሁኔታ፣ ፈጽሞ በሌላ ቦታ ይታሰባል። ሌላው በሠላሳ ደረቅ ዓመታት በኋላ መልሰው በፈሰሱ ምንጮች፣ ወደ ዳሰሳ መዝገብ በተመለሱ ወፎች፣ ከራሱ ስር ወጥቶ ጦርነትን በተቋቋመ ደን ይለካል። ጥልቁ ምፀት መንግሥት ሊሰበስበው እጅግ የሚጓጓለት የካርቦን ገንዘብ በመጨረሻ በሁለተኛው ደን አመክንዮ ላይ የተመረኮዘ መሆኑ ነው — እውነተኛ ቆሞ ያለ ዛፍ፣ እውነተኛ የተቀረ ኪሳራ፣ በውጪ ሰው የተረጋገጠ — ማስታወቂያው ግን የመጀመሪያውን ቢሸልምም። መሬቱ፣ በደሳ የሚኖር አንድ አዛውንት ለአንድ ጋዜጠኛ እንደነገሩት፣ ሞቶ አያውቅም። የሪፐብሊኩ የቀረው ተግባር ያ አዛውንት የሰየሙት ነው፦ ትዕይንትን አቁሞ፣ ማዳመጥ መጀመር።</p>
<div class="end">❖</div>
<p class="footnote">ምንጮች የዓለም ባንክ የባዮካርቦን ፈንድ / ISFL (የኦሮሚያ ደናማ መልክዓ-ምድር መርሐ-ግብርና የፌብሩዋሪ 2023 ERPA)፣ Dialogue Earth፣ በ Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems የተዘገበ የተባበሩት መንግሥታት የመስክ መረጃ፣ በኢትዮጵያ የዛፍ-መትከል ላይ የተደረገ በአቻ-ምሁራን የተገመገመ የአስተዳደር ጥናት (Kassa et al.)፣ የ Right Livelihood ፋውንዴሽን፣ እና ስለ WeForest ደሳ መርሐ-ግብርና ስለ FMNR የተደረጉ ዘገባዎችን ያካትታሉ። ለአረንጓዴ አሻራ ኢኒሼቲቭ የተሰጡ አኃዞች — የችግኝ ብዛት፣ የደን-ሽፋን መቶኛና የአንድ-ችግኝ ወጪን ጨምሮ — የመንግሥት ይገባኛሎች ሲሆኑ እንደዚያው ቀርበዋል፤ የመትከል ቆጠራዎቹ ገለልተኛ ማረጋገጫ፣ በአሁኑ ጊዜ፣ የለም።</p>
</div>
<p></body><br />
</html></p>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4797" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4797/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4797</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Two Forests, One Ledger</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4790/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4790/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2026 10:11:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4790</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Two Forests, One Ledger — The Ethiopian Tribune The Ethiopian Tribune Analysis · Environment &#38;...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>14 Minute, 2 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!DOCTYPE html><br />
<html lang="en-GB"><br />
<head><br />
<meta charset="UTF-8"><br />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"><br />
<title>Two Forests, One Ledger — The Ethiopian Tribune</title></p>
<style>
  :root{
    --crimson:#7b1113;
    --crimson-deep:#5e0d0e;
    --gold:#c9a227;
    --ink:#1b1b1b;
    --paper:#fbf8f1;
    --rule:#e3dccb;
  }
  *{box-sizing:border-box;}
  body{
    margin:0;
    background:var(--paper);
    color:var(--ink);
    font-family:"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua",Palatino,"URW Palladio L",Georgia,serif;
    font-size:19px;
    line-height:1.66;
  }
  .wrap{max-width:720px;margin:0 auto;padding:54px 26px 96px;}
  .masthead{
    text-align:center;
    border-bottom:3px double var(--crimson);
    padding-bottom:14px;margin-bottom:34px;
  }
  .masthead .pub{
    font-variant:small-caps;
    letter-spacing:.22em;
    color:var(--crimson);
    font-size:15px;
    font-weight:700;
  }
  .masthead .rubric{
    font-variant:small-caps;
    letter-spacing:.16em;
    color:var(--gold);
    font-size:12px;
    margin-top:6px;
  }
  h1{
    font-size:42px;
    line-height:1.12;
    margin:6px 0 14px;
    color:var(--crimson-deep);
    font-weight:700;
    letter-spacing:-.01em;
  }
  .standfirst{
    font-size:21px;
    line-height:1.5;
    font-style:italic;
    color:#3a3a3a;
    margin:0 0 22px;
  }
  .byline{
    font-variant:small-caps;
    letter-spacing:.12em;
    font-size:14px;
    color:#555;
    border-top:1px solid var(--rule);
    border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);
    padding:10px 0;
    margin:0 0 34px;
  }
  .byline b{color:var(--crimson);font-weight:700;}
  p{margin:0 0 19px;text-align:justify;hyphens:auto;}
  p.first{margin-top:0;}
  p.first::first-letter{
    float:left;
    font-size:74px;
    line-height:.78;
    padding:8px 12px 0 0;
    color:var(--crimson);
    font-weight:700;
  }
  h2{
    font-size:16px;
    font-variant:small-caps;
    letter-spacing:.16em;
    color:var(--crimson);
    margin:40px 0 16px;
    padding-bottom:6px;
    border-bottom:1px solid var(--gold);
  }
  blockquote{
    margin:30px 0;
    padding:4px 0 4px 26px;
    border-left:4px solid var(--gold);
    font-size:24px;
    line-height:1.4;
    font-style:italic;
    color:var(--crimson-deep);
  }
  .amh{font-family:inherit;}
  .ledger{
    margin:30px 0;
    border-top:2px solid var(--crimson);
    border-bottom:2px solid var(--crimson);
    padding:18px 0;
  }
  .ledger .row{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;gap:18px;padding:7px 0;border-bottom:1px dotted var(--rule);font-size:17px;}
  .ledger .row:last-child{border-bottom:none;}
  .ledger .lbl{color:#444;}
  .ledger .val{color:var(--crimson-deep);font-weight:700;text-align:right;}
  .kicker{font-variant:small-caps;letter-spacing:.1em;color:var(--gold);font-weight:700;}
  .end{text-align:center;color:var(--gold);font-size:22px;margin:42px 0 10px;letter-spacing:.3em;}
  .footnote{font-size:14px;color:#666;font-style:italic;line-height:1.5;border-top:1px solid var(--rule);padding-top:18px;}
  a{color:var(--crimson);}
</style>
<p></head><br />
<body></p>
<div class="wrap">
<div class="masthead">
<div class="pub">The Ethiopian Tribune</div>
<div class="rubric">Analysis · Environment &amp; Political Economy</div>
</p></div>
<h1>Two Forests, One Ledger</h1>
<p class="standfirst">The Green Legacy spectacle plants for the cameras and counts its own success. The money, meanwhile, is earned in a place the cameras never point — and the only restoration that came through a war intact was the one nobody owned but the people who did it.</p>
<div class="byline">By <b>E. Frashie</b> &nbsp;·&nbsp; The Ethiopian Tribune</div>
<p class="first">Every rainy season the Republic performs a sacrament. The Prime Minister — the soft-spoken lieutenant-colonel who rose through intelligence and the old EPRDF machine before rebranding himself, and the state, in the green of renewal — takes a sapling and a ceremonial spade, and behind him a phalanx of ministers, diplomats and visiting heads of state do the same. There are drone shots. There is a record to be broken. In 2019 the figure offered to the world was 350 million seedlings in a single day, a number that obliterated India&rsquo;s previous record and was reported, more or less credulously, across the planet. This year&rsquo;s ceremony was opened in the presence of Nigeria&rsquo;s Vice-President; the theme was &ldquo;Renewal Through Planting,&rdquo; and the Prime Minister promised that once the campaign was complete, Ethiopia would never again accept food aid. It is, as theatre, genuinely impressive. The question this newspaper is interested in is what happens after the cameras are packed away — and, more pointedly, who profits, who counts, and which of the country&rsquo;s two competing forests is actually real.</p>
<p>Because there are two. There is the forest above ground: the seedlings, the planting days, the billions announced — somewhere between twenty-five and forty billion, depending on which official accounting one accepts — and the claim that national tree cover has climbed from 17.2 per cent in 2019 to 23.6 per cent today. And there is the forest below ground: the slower, quieter, far less photogenic restoration carried out by villagers, agronomists and a handful of non-governmental organisations, who in many cases did not plant a single seedling and produced more durable results than the spectacle ever has. To understand the politics of <span class="amh">አረንጓዴ አሻራ</span> — the Green Legacy — one has to keep both forests in view at once, and notice which one the state shows you and which one it would rather you did not look at too closely.</p>
<h2>What the state actually gets</h2>
<p>Strip away the foliage and the benefits to the government fall into three baskets, only one of which is environmental. The first is domestic legitimacy. A regime that has presided over civil war, mass displacement and a battered currency can, for the length of a planting day, preside instead over an image of national renewal in which millions of citizens — twenty million, the state says — participate as one. The second is foreign policy. Green Legacy is Ethiopia&rsquo;s most exportable soft-power product, a Pan-African brand that places Addis Ababa in the same sentence as Kenya, Rwanda and Ghana, draws visiting dignitaries into the photograph, and earns applause at climate summits where the country otherwise arrives as a supplicant. The pledge to end food aid &ldquo;by next year&rdquo; is aimed squarely at this audience.</p>
<p>The third basket is money, and it is here that public understanding is thinnest — partly by design. The popular impression is that the planting days themselves are converted, somehow, into cash: plant the billions, sell the carbon, bank the proceeds. That is not how it works, and the gap between how it is imagined and how it actually functions is the most revealing thing about the entire enterprise.</p>
<h2>The carbon money, broken down</h2>
<p>The headline carbon finance does not flow from the seedlings the Prime Minister plants on camera. It flows through a separate, technical, almost deliberately unglamorous instrument called the Oromia Forested Landscape Programme — a jurisdictional REDD+ scheme covering the entire Oromia region, prepared with the World Bank since 2017. On 9 February 2023, the Federal Government and the World Bank&rsquo;s BioCarbon Fund signed an Emission Reductions Purchase Agreement worth up to 40 million US dollars, payable against roughly four million tonnes of carbon-dioxide-equivalent reductions to be delivered through 2030.</p>
<p>Read that mechanism carefully, because the sleight of hand lives in the detail. REDD+ does not pay you for trees you plant. It pays you for emissions you can demonstrate you <em>avoided</em> — deforestation that did not happen, degradation that was slowed, carbon stocks that were left standing — across a whole jurisdiction, measured against a baseline. The unit of value is not a sapling in a photograph; it is a tonne of carbon that an independent third-party auditor, working to the Bank&rsquo;s methodology, certifies as not having entered the atmosphere. The programme&rsquo;s first monitoring report is, at the time of writing, undergoing exactly that external verification, with an initial payment anticipated in early 2026, to be distributed through a negotiated Benefit-Sharing Plan.</p>
<blockquote><p>The money is earned precisely where the cameras are not. The spectacle is the marketing; REDD+ is the invoice — and the invoice is audited by someone the government does not control.</p></blockquote>
<p>This produces a quiet irony the state is in no hurry to advertise. The one part of the whole edifice subjected to genuine outside scrutiny — the carbon ledger — measures something almost entirely distinct from the planting spectacle it is popularly credited to. State media have separately claimed something nearer 70 million dollars from carbon trading overall, an aggregate figure that bundles various bilateral and multilateral arrangements and should be treated as a government claim rather than an audited fact. The verifiable instrument is the 40-million-dollar Oromia agreement, and it rewards the boring, durable work of keeping existing forest standing — not the boom of a record-breaking planting day.</p>
<div class="ledger">
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Green Legacy seedlings claimed (2019&ndash;2025)</span><span class="val">25&ndash;40 billion</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Claimed national tree cover, 2019 &rarr; 2025</span><span class="val">17.2% &rarr; 23.6%</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Oromia REDD+ ERPA (World Bank, Feb 2023)</span><span class="val">up to $40m / ~4 Mt CO&#8322;e</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Reductions rewarded</span><span class="val">avoided deforestation, not planting</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Who verifies the carbon</span><span class="val">independent third party</span></div>
<div class="row"><span class="lbl">Who verifies the planting tally</span><span class="val">the state itself</span></div>
</p></div>
<h2>How many trees lived — and who is allowed to count?</h2>
<p>This is the question the spectacle is built to deflect. The government&rsquo;s position is consistent: survival rates above 80 per cent, sometimes 85. For the 7.5 billion seedlings it says were planted between July 2022 and July 2023, the official survival figure was 85 per cent. The difficulty is that nobody outside the state is permitted to confirm it, and almost everyone who has tried has arrived at a lower number.</p>
<p>Sources inside Ethiopia&rsquo;s own Environmental Commission told one investigation that the real survival rate for that cohort may not exceed 50 per cent. United Nations field data put survival in the Amhara and Tigray highlands at around 55 and 58 per cent respectively, undone by heat, thin rainfall and absent follow-up care. A peer-reviewed governance study was blunter still: these campaigns, it found, are not formally monitored, and field observation suggests survival well below the official claim. The historical record offers little comfort — Ethiopian planting programmes of the 1970s to 1990s recorded survival under 20 per cent — and the global pattern is worse: mass-planting campaigns routinely fail at rates between 60 and 90 per cent. Turkey&rsquo;s celebrated 11-million-tree day in 2019 had, by its own foresters&rsquo; association&rsquo;s reckoning, lost as many as nine in ten within months.</p>
<p>The structural problem is not that trees die; trees always die in some proportion. The problem is that, in the Green Legacy model, a single actor sets the target, mobilises the planting, performs the count, declares the result and then markets it to the world. There is no transparent public tracking system. There is no published breakdown of how many of the billions were hardy indigenous species and how many were eucalyptus — that thirsty colonial import that drains the very water tables a degraded landscape is gasping for. The state both takes the photograph and writes the caption. The only outside auditor in the entire system, as we have seen, is the carbon-finance verifier — and he is measuring avoided deforestation across Oromia, not whether the sapling the minister pressed into the ground in July was alive by December. The survival of the spectacle is, in the end, self-certified.</p>
<h2>The forest that was already there</h2>
<p>Now consider the other forest — the one that does not photograph well. In the Desa highlands of Tigray, on the lip of the escarpment that falls towards the Danakil, a dry afromontane forest that had lost roughly forty per cent of its closed canopy has been coming back. The organisation WeForest, working under a 2019 memorandum with the regional Bureau of Agriculture across some 38,000 hectares, did something the planting campaigns never do: before putting anything in the ground, it fixed the ground. Villagers dug contour trenches and infiltration pits and stacked hundreds of kilometres of stone bunds by hand — what the project came to call &ldquo;planting the rain.&rdquo; Across Tigray as a whole, communities have moved an estimated 90 million tonnes of soil and rock by hand to restore around a million hectares, one of the largest hand-built engineering efforts in modern African history, and one almost no one outside the country has heard of.</p>
<p>The second move was stranger still. In much of this landscape the forest was never dead — it was underground. Native junipers and African olives, browsed and burned to the ground a hundred times over, survive as living rootstocks, ancient biological batteries waiting beneath the surface. The technique of coaxing them back up — pruning the strongest shoots from an existing rootstock rather than buying and planting a nursery seedling — is called Farmer-Managed Natural Regeneration. The Australian agronomist Tony Rinaudo formalised it in Niger in 1983, after years of failed planting, when he stopped to look properly at a roadside &ldquo;shrub&rdquo; and realised it was the crown of a felled tree whose roots were still alive. He received the Right Livelihood Award — the alternative Nobel — in 2018. In Niger alone the method has regreened five million hectares and some 200 million trees, benefiting two and a half million people, at a cost of roughly twenty dollars a hectare.</p>
<p>Hold that last figure against the spectacle&rsquo;s own arithmetic. By a cost reported in state media and attributed to the initiative&rsquo;s own steering committee, Green Legacy has been spending in the order of twenty dollars per <em>seedling</em>. If that number is anywhere near accurate, the same twenty dollars either buys one photogenic sapling with a coin-toss chance of survival, or restores an entire hectare of forest from the roots already in the soil, with survival rates that in well-run regeneration projects exceed ninety per cent. That is the whole argument of this article compressed into a single comparison.</p>
<blockquote><p>&ldquo;The land was never dead. We just stopped listening to it.&rdquo;</p></blockquote>
<p>And then came the test no policy paper could have designed. When war engulfed Tigray in November 2020, the international organisations evacuated, the financing collapsed, the technical assistance vanished. Most foreign-funded projects in the region simply stopped. The Desa work did not. The trenches were still dug, the bunds still repaired, the rootstocks still pruned — because by then the knowledge of what to do no longer sat with an NGO or a ministry. It sat with the people who lived on the land. Post-war assessment found that many of the most intensively restored areas had not merely survived the war but continued to advance through it, with no external support at all. A restoration owned by its community proved more durable than a two-year war. That is a sentence the Green Legacy spectacle, for all its billions, cannot write about itself.</p>
<h2>The honest ledger</h2>
<p>None of this makes Green Legacy worthless, and the Tribune will not pretend otherwise. The campaign has shifted, sensibly, towards fruit and fodder agroforestry that pays communities directly; it has created rural work; it has done real good for public awareness in a country that genuinely needed to plant. The Oromia programme itself runs through more than 350 community cooperatives and a roster of NGOs — Farm Africa, World Vision, the wetlands association — which is to say the state and the community model are not always enemies. Indigenous-species trials in Addis Ababa have logged survival between 82 and 96 per cent when the unglamorous work of mulching, watering and protection is actually done. The point is not that the spectacle achieves nothing. The point is that it is audited least precisely where it performs most, and audited most precisely where it performs least.</p>
<p>So this is a tale of two forests, and they are not equally real. One is measured in declarations, planting-day records and the presence of foreign dignitaries; its survival is taken on the state&rsquo;s word, and its carbon is, conveniently, accounted for somewhere else entirely. The other is measured in springs that ran again after thirty dry years, in birds that returned to the survey logs, in a forest that walked up out of its own roots and held its ground through a war. The deepest irony is that the carbon money the government is so keen to collect ultimately depends on the logic of the second forest — real standing trees, real avoided loss, verified by an outsider — even as the marketing rewards the first. The land, an elder in Desa told an interviewer, was never dead. The Republic&rsquo;s remaining task is the one he named: to stop performing, and start listening.</p>
<div class="end">&#10070;</div>
<p class="footnote">Sources include the World Bank BioCarbon Fund / ISFL (Oromia Forested Landscape Programme and the February 2023 ERPA), Dialogue Earth, UNEP field data reported in <em>Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems</em>, peer-reviewed governance research on Ethiopian tree-planting (Kassa et al.), the Right Livelihood Foundation, and reporting on the WeForest Desa programme and Farmer-Managed Natural Regeneration. Figures attributed to the Green Legacy Initiative — including seedling totals, tree-cover percentages and per-seedling cost — are government claims and are presented as such; independent verification of the planting tallies does not, at present, exist.</p>
</div>
<p></body><br />
</html></p>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4790" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/4790/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4790</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Fiammetta’s Daughter</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/fiammettas-daughter/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/fiammettas-daughter/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Jun 2026 05:44:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4776</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Ethiopian Tribune Democratic Accountability · Human Rights · The Horn of Africa Fiammetta’s Daughter...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>7 Minute, 59 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!-- THE ETHIOPIAN TRIBUNE — WordPress-ready. Paste into the Custom HTML block. --></p>
<div style="max-width: 720px; margin: 0 auto; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Georgia,serif; color: #1A1A1A; line-height: 1.65; font-size: 19px">
<p style="text-align: center; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 3px; color: #B8860B; font-weight: bold; text-transform: uppercase; margin: 0 0 4px"><strong>The Ethiopian Tribune</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 14px; color: #1A1A1A; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 14px; margin: 0 0 26px"><em>Democratic Accountability · Human Rights · The Horn of Africa</em></p>
<h1 style="text-align: center; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Georgia,serif; color: #8B0000; font-size: 42px; line-height: 1.12; font-weight: bold; margin: 0 0 12px">Fiammetta’s Daughter</h1>
<p style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 21px; color: #1A1A1A; margin: 0 0 18px"><em>Be’alu Girma gave Ethiopia a woman who spoke the truth the state could not forgive. Forty years on, a journalist named Trinity sits in a cell for the same offence.</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 2px; color: #9E1B32; font-size: 15px; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000; padding-bottom: 18px; margin: 0 0 26px"><strong>BY E. FRASHIE</strong></p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px"><span style="float: left; font-size: 62px; line-height: 48px; font-weight: bold; padding: 4px 8px 0 0">W</span>hen Be’alu Girma wrote <em>Oromay</em>, he did the one thing a careful man inside a propaganda ministry ought never to do: he gave his sharpest, truest lines to a woman the state had already decided was the enemy. Fiammetta Eritrean, luminous, bound by loyalties the campaign could not absorb says aloud what the novel’s narrator, himself a regime information officer, cannot allow himself to think. She names the distance between the slogans and the conduct. She sees the contempt the centre holds for the periphery it claims to be liberating. And because Be’alu has made the reader love her before he lets her speak, the indictment arrives before the defences can be raised. That was the craft, and it was unforgivable. Be’alu Girma was taken in 1984. He was never returned.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">The device has outlived the man. Place the hardest truth in the mouth of someone the audience has been taught to distrust or to adore and the truth slips past the guard. It is the oldest reason tyrannies fear novelists. It is the newest reason they fear women with telephones.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Forty years on, the grammar is intact. Only the instrument has changed.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 20px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Inversion</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Salsawit Baynesagn Yimer was cast as no one’s enemy. She was, until lately, the state’s own voice. She reported for Walta and for the Fana Broadcasting Corporate two of the load-bearing walls of Ethiopia’s government-aligned media and then, in the manner of her generation, she stepped out from behind the institutions and spoke under her own name, to some eight thousand followers on TikTok and Facebook, about human rights and about faith.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Here is the inversion Be’alu would have recognised at once. Fiammetta was the enemy who told the truth. Salsawit is the loyal voice the state has chosen to treat as the enemy for the identical offence of telling it. The apparatus that trained her, that placed a microphone in her hand, has discovered that the voices it produces are the ones it can least afford to hear.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 23px; color: #9E1B32; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000; padding: 18px 24px; margin: 28px 0"><p><em>Fiammetta was the enemy who told the truth. Salsawit is the loyal voice the state now treats as the enemy for the identical offence of telling it.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 20px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">An Accusation in Arithmetic</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">On the afternoon of 8&nbsp;June, police took her from her home in Addis Ababa. She was wanted, they said, for questioning. Ethiopian law allows them forty-eight hours to bring a detainee before a judge. The forty-eight hours passed; then ten days passed; and she had still not been produced in court, and the Federal Police had still named no charge. She had left behind a four-year-old child. By an account carried in the French press and sourced to the APA agency, she was first held in isolation in what was described as a “black cell,” her family barred from seeing her for three days, while a court appearance announced for 16&nbsp;June simply did not occur.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Strip the case to its figures and it reads as an accusation in arithmetic. One arrest. Forty-eight hours, breached. Ten days and more without a charge. One child. Three days before a sister’s face. One hearing promised and withdrawn. Against all of this the state has entered a single number, and the number is nothing no reason, no charge, no account.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 20px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Name</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">And now the detail Be’alu, who loved a symbol, could never have left on the table.</p>
<p style="text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-size: 30px; color: #8B0000; margin: 24px 0"><strong>Salsawit, in Amharic, means Trinity.</strong></p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">The journalist the state has sealed in a cell without a charge carries, in her name, the central mystery of the Church whose people have been dying in Arsi the massacre her family believes, though the police will not confirm it, is the true reason she was taken. Nor did she go alone in spirit. The two sisters who walked the petition from office to office, and who were offered to the court as witnesses, are named in the legal record: Haymanot and Elbethel. Haymanot means Faith. Elbethel is Bethel the house of God.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">One need not read providence into a family’s christening to feel the weight of it. Three sisters, by the plain meaning of their names, are Trinity, Faith and the House of God and it is they who are carrying a court’s paper through a police commission that will not take it, on behalf of the one of them shut away for speaking of a Church the state would prefer went unnamed. A novelist would be accused of laying it on too thick. Reality is under no such obligation.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 23px; color: #9E1B32; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000; padding: 18px 24px; margin: 28px 0"><p><em>Three sisters, by the plain meaning of their names, are Trinity, Faith and the House of God.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 20px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Summons They Would Not Take</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">What those three women met when they tried to serve the court’s summons is the detail that turns a familiar story into a damning one. By the account her lead counsel, Ato Zewdu Bekele, gave to <em>The&nbsp;Reporter</em>, the lawyers had petitioned the Federal First Instance Court at Arada for her unconditional release, on the ground that the forty-eight-hour rule had been broken. The court ordered the Police Commission summoned. And the Commission’s records office refused to accept the summons refused to sign for a court’s own order saying it could not do so unless the head of the Crime Investigation Bureau instructed it. The lawyers went to that head’s office three times. They waited at his door. He could not be found. They tried the commission’s relocated premises; they lodged a complaint with its complaints unit; the paper could not be served.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">So they swore an affidavit. Under Article&nbsp;105 of the Civil Procedure Code, which provides for substituted service where ordinary service is frustrated, they asked the court to deliver its own summons by its own messenger and, failing that, by any means it judged fit. The court agreed, ordered service by its messenger, and set the next hearing for the following morning.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Read that sequence again, for it is the whole indictment in miniature. A state does not merely decline to explain why it holds a journalist. It declines to accept the court’s request that it explain. The silence is no longer passive. It has hands; it shuts a records-room window; it empties an office of the one official authorised to sign.</p>
<h2 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 20px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Bench</h2>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">None of this is without precedent, which is precisely the point. The Committee to Protect Journalists and Human Rights Watch have logged a steady procession of such arrests through 2025 Sheger&nbsp;FM, broadcast staff held over a woman’s testimony of rape the method always the same: seize first, justify later, or never. Yet the same record carries the reason the affidavit matters. When the police argued last September that the Sheger&nbsp;FM journalists might destroy evidence if freed, a court refused them, and the Federal Supreme Court upheld the refusal. In 2022 that same court granted the Associated Press’s Amir Aman Kiyaro bail over police objection, after four months without a charge. The bench does not always look away. Sometimes it makes the state stand and answer. Whether it will make the Police Commission stand and answer for Trinity is the question a messenger now carries through the streets of Arada.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">Be’alu Girma’s Fiammetta had no court. She had no affidavit, no Article&nbsp;105, no sisters named Faith and Bethel walking her cause from door to door. She had only a novelist who loved her enough to let her speak, and who paid for it with his life. Salsawit Baynesagn Yimer has more than Fiammetta was given: a case number, a legal team that will not stop walking, a family whose very names rebuke the silence, and a public that now knows what the Police Commission would rather it did not.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">What she shares with Fiammetta is the one thing the state can neither forgive nor un-make. She spoke. The voice the apparatus built turned out to carry the truth the apparatus most needed buried. They have put it in a black cell. They have not, for all their refusing of papers, found a way to make it stop meaning what it means.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 18px">She has not been charged with anything. That is not the mitigation. That is the case. And her name, which they cannot take from her even now, means Trinity.</p>
<h3 style="text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #8B0000; font-size: 15px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 36px 0 12px">Sources</h3>
<p style="font-style: italic; font-size: 15px; color: #1A1A1A; line-height: 1.55; margin: 0"><em>Arrest, detention timeline and family account: DW Amharic (16&nbsp;June 2026); EEPA Situation Report (18&nbsp;June 2026); Addis Standard (June 2026). Isolation, “black cell” and the withdrawn 16&nbsp;June hearing: APA-sourced report (June 2026). The 48-hour petition, the Police Commission’s refusal to accept service, the Article&nbsp;105 affidavit, the sisters Haymanot and Elbethel Baynesagn as witnesses, and the messenger-service order: counsel Ato Zewdu Bekele, interviewed by The&nbsp;Reporter (to 18&nbsp;June 2026). Comparative cases (Sheger&nbsp;FM; Amir Aman Kiyaro): Committee to Protect Journalists; Human Rights Watch; Al&nbsp;Jazeera. The reported link to the Arsi killings is the family’s stated suspicion and has not been confirmed by the authorities. Oromay and the disappearance of Be’alu Girma are matters of public literary and historical record.</em></p>
</div>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4776" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/fiammettas-daughter/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4776</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Republic of the Ivory Smile</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-republic-of-the-ivory-smile/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-republic-of-the-ivory-smile/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2026 17:17:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4772</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[How a ruling class fell in love with its own reflection eyebrows, dental work, designer labels and all while the city it governs was bulldozed out from under the poor]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>10 Minute, 6 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!-- THE ETHIOPIAN TRIBUNE — WordPress-ready article HTML. Paste into the Custom HTML / Code block. --></p>
<div style="max-width: 760px; margin: 0 auto; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype','Book Antiqua',Palatino,Georgia,serif; color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 1.7">
<p style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 13px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 3px; color: #B8860B; text-transform: uppercase; margin: 0 0 6px"><strong>The Ethiopian Tribune &nbsp;·&nbsp; Comment</strong></p>
<h1 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 40px; line-height: 1.12; font-weight: 700; color: #8B0000; margin: 0 0 12px">The Republic of the Ivory Smile</h1>
<p style="font-size: 19px; font-style: italic; color: #1a1a1a; margin: 0 0 14px; padding-bottom: 14px; border-bottom: 2px solid #B8860B"><em>How a ruling class fell in love with its own reflection eyebrows, dental work, designer labels and all while the city it governs was bulldozed out from under the poor</em></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; color: #9E1B32; margin: 0 0 26px"><strong>By Sewasew Teklemariam</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify"><span style="float: left; font-size: 62px; line-height: 0.82; font-weight: 700; padding: 6px 10px 0 0">T</span>here is a face that now greets the Ethiopian viewer at the top of every evening bulletin, and it is not, by any reasonable measure, an Ethiopian face. It has been sanded, lightened, contoured and lacquered into something that belongs to no particular country and therefore, conveniently, to no particular people. The eyebrows have been shaved clean off and redrawn in a stern geometric arc that nature never issued at birth. The hair rises in a glossy synthetic tower, imported by the kilo and sold to the public under that marvellous euphemism, “human hair” as if the adjective alone could launder the artifice. The wardrobe would not look out of place in a Gulf shopping concourse. And beneath all of it, somewhere, is a presenter reading the news to a republic in which most citizens are quietly counting out the day’s injera.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">Let me be precise about what this column is and is not. It is not a sermon against vanity. People have wanted to look attractive since the first Ethiopian caught her reflection in the Awash, and a young woman who enjoys her lipstick owes no apology to me or to anyone else. I am not in the business of policing the faces of working women. The argument is narrower, and I think more uncomfortable: the look has stopped being personal and become a uniform. And a uniform always carries a message.</p>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Mask and the Message</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">Watch the screen long enough and you notice the message is identical from channel to channel. It says: <em>I am not from here.</em> It says modernity is a coat of paint, and the more of it you wear, the more modern you must be. The makeup too often applied by artists who appear to have learned their craft from a phone screen rather than from any studio is not there to flatter a face. It is there to abolish one. The point is the erasure: the elimination of pore, line and blemish, and with them every visible trace of the ordinary Ethiopian who is presumably watching from a one-room rental with the power off.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">The drawn-on eyebrow is the small, perfect emblem of the whole enterprise. You remove the thing you were given, and then you draw, in its place, a stylised version of the thing you removed harder, blacker, more severe, entirely artificial. If you wanted a single image for the governing aesthetic of this country, you could do a great deal worse. Tear out the original. Paint over the gap. Insist the painting is an improvement.</p>
<blockquote style="font-size: 23px; font-style: italic; color: #9E1B32; text-align: center; margin: 26px 0; padding: 18px 24px; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000"><p><em>Tear out the original. Paint over the gap. Insist the painting is an improvement.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">Dressed for the Wrong Job</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">There is also the matter of the wardrobe, which deserves its own complaint. A newsreader is not a wedding singer. The job, the actual job, is to be trusted, and trust has a dress code, and that dress code is restraint. When the person delivering news of a massacre in Arsi or a famine warning in the lowlands is turned out as though for a perfume advertisement, something in the contract between broadcaster and public quietly tears. The seriousness leaks out of the room. The viewer is no longer being informed by a journalist; he is being performed at by a brand. A profession that once carried the dignity of bearing witness is reduced, set by set, to a styling exercise. The clothes are not a trivial thing. They are the visible announcement that the channel has decided it is in the business of looking impressive rather than telling the truth.</p>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Men and Their Ivory Smiles</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">For a long time this was treated, lazily and a little cruelly, as a women’s affliction the makeup, the hair, the hemlines. It is no longer possible to pretend so. The men have joined the parade, and the men have gone further, because the men have power, and power likes to be photographed.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">Observe the new political class when it assembles for a ribbon-cutting. The teeth, first of all: rows of veneered, factory-white incisors, an “ivory smile” so uniform across the cadre that one begins to suspect a single dentist somewhere is quietly building an empire. Then the labels the watch worn at the precise angle that ensures it is noticed, the suit with the conspicuous European name, often enough a counterfeit one, which is its own small poem: a fake badge of a foreign house, worn as proof of having arrived. The whole costume says one thing, and says it loudly: <em>Look at me. I am a fine specimen. I am a man of modernity.</em></p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">This is the visual grammar of Prosperity the party and, with grim aptness, the promise. It is a politics conducted almost entirely on the surface, in which to <em>appear</em> prosperous is taken as sufficient evidence of having delivered prosperity. The cadre does not point to the factory he built or the family he lifted out of want. He points to his own teeth. The smile is the manifesto.</p>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Influencer Front</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">And the painted face does not stay in the studio. It has been issued a phone and a ring light and sent to war.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">There is now a standing army of them the YouTube and TikTok brigades, the “content creators,” the lifestyle vloggers and the makers of patriotic shorts and they fight on a very particular front. Their weapon is the colour grade. Watch one of their dispatches from the new Addis: the footage has been run through a LUT until the sky is a Dubai turquoise and the asphalt gleams like wet obsidian; the drone lifts off the boulevard in one unbroken, swooning shot; the same ivory dentures we met earlier flash on cue; and beneath it all swells an AI-generated anthem, assuring you the country has arrived. It is beautiful. That is the entire point. It is engineered to be beautiful, and beauty, deployed at scale, is an argument that asks for no evidence.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">The scholars have lately given the technique a name: <em>aesthetic propaganda</em>. Unlike the old sort, in which the state ground out its own leaden bulletins, this is produced in a distributed swarm by ministries, by the Prime Minister’s Office and the Addis Ababa City Administration posting glossy drone reels, and then by thousands of supporters who clip them, re-cut them, score them and fire them back out. When a foreign celebrity wanders through the American streamer IShowSpeed pulled some ten million views in a single day on Addis’s remade streets, and the Ghanaian creator Wode Maya has made a small vocation of the genre the machine seizes the footage and elevates it into the official story, conveniently scrubbed of the Western lens that usually frames the continent in dust.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">None of this is accidental, and the government has stopped pretending it is. In May it convened an African Social Media Influencers Summit at the Adwa Victory Memorial Museum, bussed the visiting creators out to the corridor sites and the new artificial-intelligence institute, and announced aloud, in plain Amharic and English that it was seeking “partnerships with digital influencers and content producers on national priorities.” The carrot is the junket, the per-diem, the access. The stick sits just behind it: the same authorities have invested in monitoring and sentiment tools to identify which influencers matter, gauge the spread of criticism, and answer it with counter-campaigns or, when the mood sours, an internet shutdown. Sing the corridor’s praises and you are flown to a museum. Mention the people it displaced and you may find your region has mysteriously lost its signal.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">For there is, of course, a rival broadcast the TikTokers who never received the memo, who use the very same intimate medium to talk about inflation, unemployment and the development corridors that uproot communities in the name of growth. They are why the state is nervous. The lacquered reel and the furious phone-video are now fighting over the same fifteen seconds of a citizen’s attention and only one of them has a drone, a LUT and a government summit behind it.</p>
<blockquote style="font-size: 23px; font-style: italic; color: #9E1B32; text-align: center; margin: 26px 0; padding: 18px 24px; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000"><p><em>Sing the corridor’s praises and you are flown to a museum. Mention the people it displaced and you may find your region has lost its signal.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">Turn the Camera Around</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">Here is where the column stops being amusing.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">While the screen the television set, and now the phone has been broadcasting these polished faces and their colour-graded boulevards, the actual faces of Addis Ababa have been loaded onto the backs of lorries and driven to the edge of the city. The “corridor” the Prime Minister’s signature project to reupholster the capital in the image of a Gulf emirate has, by Amnesty International’s account, forcibly evicted thousands of residents across Addis Ababa and at least fifty-eight other towns. In the Bole and Lemi Kura sub-cities alone, the organisation documented at least 872 people pushed from their homes in the space of a single month. Families were given between twenty-four and seventy-two hours’ notice. Most received no compensation. Many held no paperwork the state was willing to recognise, and so, in the bureaucratic logic of the bulldozer, they had never quite existed.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">So consider the arithmetic of a single television frame. In the foreground: a presenter whose face has been engineered to look as though it comes from a wealthier country, reporting from a studio in a city being physically rebuilt to look like a wealthier country. Off-camera, beyond the new boulevard and the imported palms, are the people who used to live where the boulevard now runs. The same aesthetic governs both the cosmetic and the civic. Both begin by removing what is genuinely there: the eyebrow, the old town, the inconvenient poor. Both replace it with a glossier, foreign-looking simulation. And both then instruct the public to admire the result as progress.</p>
<blockquote style="font-size: 23px; font-style: italic; color: #9E1B32; text-align: center; margin: 26px 0; padding: 18px 24px; border-top: 2px solid #8B0000; border-bottom: 2px solid #8B0000"><p><em>The ivory smile and the bulldozer are not two stories. They are one.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">They are what happens when a state confuses <em>looking</em> modern with <em>being</em> just when the entire energy of a governing class is poured into the management of appearances, because appearances are the one thing it has learned how to manufacture.</p>
<h2 style="font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #B8860B; border-bottom: 1.5px solid #B8860B; padding-bottom: 6px; margin: 34px 0 16px">The Unretouched Face</h2>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">I have nothing against beauty, and still less against ambition. A people has every right to want nice things, straight teeth and a handsome capital. The objection is to the lie embedded in the performance: the suggestion that a foundation two shades too light is the same as dignity, that a counterfeit French label is the same as wealth, that a widened road is the same as a home.</p>
<p style="font-size: 18px; margin: 0 0 18px; text-align: justify">There is a real Ethiopian face. It is older and more tired than the one on the bulletin, and a good deal more beautiful, because it has not been instructed to apologise for existing. You will not, as a rule, find it in the studio. You will find it on the bus to the periphery, watching the city it built recede behind the new glass, wondering when, exactly, the country decided it preferred the painting to the original.</p>
<p style="font-size: 19px; font-weight: 700; color: #8B0000; margin: 0 0 24px; text-align: justify"><strong>Turn the camera around. That is the face worth broadcasting.</strong></p>
<hr style="border: none; border-top: 1.5px solid #B8860B; margin: 28px 0 16px">
<p style="font-size: 14px; font-style: italic; color: #555; line-height: 1.6; text-align: justify; margin: 0"><em>Sources: Amnesty International, “Ethiopia: End mass forced evictions” (14 April 2025); Global Voices, “Ethiopia’s Urban Renewal Projects and the Turn Toward Aesthetic Propaganda” (March 2026); the Ethiopian News Agency and allAfrica on the African Social Media Influencers Summit (May 2026); Global Voices Advox, PesaCheck and AFP Fact Check on AI-generated political media; the Business &amp; Human Rights Resource Centre on state digital-monitoring tools; and Addis Insight on Ethiopia’s TikTok dissenters. Corridor displacement figures are Amnesty’s documented minimums for the specified sub-cities and time-frame; the true totals are widely held to be considerably higher.</em></p>
</div>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4772" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-republic-of-the-ivory-smile/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4772</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Twig and the Phantom Carrot</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-twig-and-the-phantom-carrot/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-twig-and-the-phantom-carrot/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 19:14:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethionews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopian News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopiantribune.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያ]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4768</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Ethiopian Tribune Column · The Week in Root Vegetables The Twig and the Phantom...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>5 Minute, 33 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!-- THE ETHIOPIAN TRIBUNE — Column / Satire — paste into WordPress (Custom HTML / Classic editor) --></p>
<div style="max-width: 760px; margin: 0 auto; font-family: 'Palatino Linotype',Palatino,Georgia,'Times New Roman',serif; color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 1.62">
<p style="text-align: center; letter-spacing: 3px; font-size: 13px; font-weight: 700; color: #b08d2a; text-transform: uppercase; margin: 0 0 4px"><strong>The Ethiopian Tribune</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center; letter-spacing: 2px; font-size: 11px; color: #1a1a1a; text-transform: uppercase; border-bottom: 2px solid #9e1b32; padding-bottom: 10px; margin: 0 0 22px">Column · The Week in Root Vegetables</p>
<h1 style="text-align: center; font-size: 37px; line-height: 1.15; font-weight: 700; color: #9e1b32; margin: 0 0 10px">The Twig and the Phantom Carrot</h1>
<p style="text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 18px; color: #333; max-width: 610px; margin: 0 auto 14px"><em>Washington reached for the carrot-and-stick playbook, found neither vegetable, and stamped a visa instead. A guided tour of one press release and of the two camps now busily misreading it.</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center; letter-spacing: 1.5px; font-size: 13px; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; color: #1a1a1a; margin: 0 0 26px"><strong>By Sewasew Teklemariam</strong></p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify"><span style="float: left; font-size: 62px; line-height: 48px; font-weight: 700; padding: 4px 8px 0 0">L</span>et us begin, as one always should with American foreign policy, by reading the document rather than the reaction to it. On Thursday the State Department issued a statement of perhaps three hundred words, the diplomatic equivalent of clearing one’s throat. It announced that Secretary Rubio, exercising his authority under Section 212(a)(3)(C) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, would impose visa restrictions on hardline members of the TPLF and their immediate families. For readers who do not keep the immigration code on the nightstand: that subsection lets the Secretary bar any foreigner whose presence he judges inconvenient to American foreign policy. In plainer English still, it is a no-entry stamp.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">It is worth dwelling on what this instrument is not, because both Ethiopian camps are about to pretend it is something else. It is not a sanction in the asset-freezing, bank-blocking, villa-confiscating sense. No Treasury list, no frozen accounts, no SWIFT messages going dark. It is a consular officer, somewhere, declining to let a named individual queue at the airport. The statement cites the clash earlier this year between the Tigray Security Forces and the ENDF — the first since the guns fell silent in 2022 — notes the hundreds of thousands freshly displaced, and closes with the two ritual phrases of the genre: that Washington stands with the people of Tigray, and that it reserves “all available tools.” Having, one notes, selected the lightest one in the drawer and quietly shut it on the rest.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">The Economist taught a generation of foreign ministries to think in carrots and sticks: punish the bad, reward the good, and watch incentives do the governing. So let us audit the produce. The stick, here, is a visa ban — which is to a sanction what a strongly worded letter is to a subpoena. Call it a twig. And the carrot? Search the three hundred words and you will not find one. There is no inducement to anybody, no reward dangled for good behaviour, no “do this and receive that.” Washington has approached the table brandishing a twig in one hand and, in the other, nothing at all.</p>
<blockquote style="border-top: 2px solid #b08d2a; border-bottom: 2px solid #b08d2a; margin: 26px 20px; padding: 16px 10px; text-align: center; font-size: 22px; font-style: italic; color: #9e1b32; line-height: 1.4"><p><em>This is not carrot-and-stick. This is stick-and-shrug.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">And yet two entire political universes have decided that this twig is the most consequential object in the Horn of Africa.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">Consider first the view from Arat Kilo, where the press release is being read as vindication delivered by registered post. At last, the reasoning goes, the Americans see it our way: the TPLF are the spoilers, the named party, the wreckers of a peace the government was selflessly nurturing. Cue the victory lap. One hates to interrupt a good lap, but the statement names no federal virtue whatsoever. It does not mention the drone strikes. It does not mention the unilateral extension of the interim mandate in April — the act that actually lit the fuse. It blesses neither the budget cuts nor the fuel blockade nor the years of disputed-territory limbo in which displaced Tigrayans remain parked in camps. Washington restricted one side and described the war’s renewal in the careful passive voice of a man who has no intention of choosing godfathers. To read “we restrict TPLF hardliners” as “we endorse everything Addis Ababa has ever done” requires a selective literacy normally reserved for horoscopes. The federal camp has received a press release and mistaken it for a security guarantee.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">Now cross to the other universe, where the same three hundred words are proof of the eternal imperial conspiracy. Washington, it is announced, dances to Abiy’s tune; the visa ban is persecution; one must wear it as a medal. There is something magnificent about a movement that has spent five years denouncing American imperialism reacting to an American visa restriction as though it were a death in the family. As a rule, the hardliner most likely to thunder against Western perfidy is also the one least likely to keep a timeshare in Virginia. But the badge-of-honour reflex is reliable: every sanction becomes a certificate of authenticity, every rebuke confirmation that one is, at last, over the target. And then comes the quiet pivot — if Washington will not have us, Asmara will. The patron rotates; the grievance is monetised; and the visa ban, far from chastening anyone, obligingly supplies the fresh persecution narrative the hardliners required for the next recruitment notice, the one summoning the region’s youth to report to the centres at Adwa.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">Here is the joke neither camp will tell at its own expense. A visa restriction is the one diplomatic instrument engineered to miss precisely the people it names. It stings the moderate who hoped to send a daughter to Georgetown; it cannot lay a finger on the hardliner who regards a US entry stamp as collaboration in the first place. So the federal camp celebrates a punishment that changes nothing, the hardline camp mourns a punishment that costs it nothing, and both perform their assigned emotions with a sincerity that would be touching if it were not so expensive for everyone else.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">As for the twig-wielder, Washington has rediscovered the great convenience of the gesture that asks nothing of the gesturer. A visa restriction requires no aid budget, no special envoy, no sleepless fortnight in Pretoria, no awkward telephone call to Asmara, and — crucially — no carrot. It is foreign policy as press release: the satisfying click of a tool being reached for, without the inconvenience of the tool actually doing anything.</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 16px; text-align: justify">And the carrot? Still, as they say, in the post — as it was always going to be. Carrots cost something; sticks, even twig-sized ones, are free; and the cheapest foreign policy on the menu is the one in which everybody gets to feel vindicated and nobody is required to change. The federal camp has its vindication. The hardliners have their medal. Washington has its press release. Asmara has its opening. And the displaced in the camps, along with the youth now being summoned to the recruitment centres — the very people in whose name all three hundred words were ostensibly composed — are left, as usual, with the one thing no podium is offering: a reason to laugh, and absolutely nothing to laugh about.</p>
<p style="border-top: 1px solid #b08d2a; padding-top: 12px; margin-top: 26px; text-align: center; font-style: italic; font-size: 13px; color: #b08d2a"><em>Sewasew Teklemariam writes on the Horn of Africa for The Ethiopian Tribune.</em></p>
</div>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4768" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-twig-and-the-phantom-carrot/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4768</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Hail Macbeth Ahmed: King Hereafter</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hail-macbeth-ahmed-king-hereafter/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hail-macbeth-ahmed-king-hereafter/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 09:25:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4764</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Hail Macbeth Ahmed: King Hereafter — The Ethiopian Tribune Ethiopia · General Election 2026 Hail...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>10 Minute, 8 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!DOCTYPE html><br />
<html lang="en-GB"><br />
<head><br />
<meta charset="UTF-8"><br />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"><br />
<title>Hail Macbeth Ahmed: King Hereafter — The Ethiopian Tribune</title></p>
<style>
  :root{<br />
    --crimson:#9E1B32;<br />
    --crimson-dark:#7c1426;<br />
    --gold:#B8860B;<br />
    --gold-soft:#C9A227;<br />
    --ink:#1c1a17;<br />
    --paper:#fbf8f1;<br />
    --rule:#d8cdb6;<br />
  }<br />
  *{box-sizing:border-box;}<br />
  body{<br />
    margin:0;<br />
    background:var(--paper);<br />
    color:var(--ink);<br />
    font-family:"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua",Palatino,Georgia,serif;<br />
    line-height:1.62;<br />
    -webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;<br />
  }<br />
  .wrap{<br />
    max-width:720px;<br />
    margin:0 auto;<br />
    padding:56px 28px 96px;<br />
  }<br />
  .kicker{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;<br />
    text-transform:uppercase;<br />
    letter-spacing:.22em;<br />
    font-size:.72rem;<br />
    font-weight:700;<br />
    color:var(--crimson);<br />
    margin:0 0 18px;<br />
  }<br />
  h1{<br />
    font-size:3.1rem;<br />
    line-height:1.02;<br />
    font-weight:700;<br />
    letter-spacing:-.01em;<br />
    margin:0 0 18px;<br />
  }<br />
  .standfirst{<br />
    font-size:1.22rem;<br />
    line-height:1.5;<br />
    font-style:italic;<br />
    color:#3a352e;<br />
    margin:0 0 26px;<br />
    padding-bottom:26px;<br />
    border-bottom:3px double var(--rule);<br />
  }<br />
  .byline{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;<br />
    font-size:.82rem;<br />
    letter-spacing:.13em;<br />
    text-transform:uppercase;<br />
    color:#5a5347;<br />
    margin:0 0 38px;<br />
  }<br />
  .byline strong{color:var(--crimson-dark);}<br />
  p{margin:0 0 1.25em;font-size:1.08rem;}<br />
  .lead:first-letter{<br />
    float:left;<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;<br />
    font-size:4.6rem;<br />
    line-height:.78;<br />
    padding:6px 12px 0 0;<br />
    color:var(--crimson);<br />
    font-weight:700;<br />
  }<br />
  h2{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;<br />
    font-size:1.02rem;<br />
    text-transform:uppercase;<br />
    letter-spacing:.16em;<br />
    color:var(--crimson-dark);<br />
    margin:2.4em 0 .9em;<br />
    padding-top:.4em;<br />
  }<br />
  h2::before{<br />
    content:"";<br />
    display:block;<br />
    width:46px;<br />
    height:3px;<br />
    background:var(--gold);<br />
    margin-bottom:1.1em;<br />
  }<br />
  blockquote{<br />
    margin:1.8em 0;<br />
    padding:.2em 0 .2em 26px;<br />
    border-left:4px solid var(--gold);<br />
    font-size:1.5rem;<br />
    line-height:1.32;<br />
    font-style:italic;<br />
    color:var(--crimson-dark);<br />
    font-weight:600;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel{<br />
    background:#fff;<br />
    border:1px solid var(--rule);<br />
    border-top:4px solid var(--crimson);<br />
    padding:22px 26px 8px;<br />
    margin:2.2em 0;<br />
    font-size:.98rem;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel h3{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;<br />
    text-transform:uppercase;<br />
    letter-spacing:.14em;<br />
    font-size:.74rem;<br />
    color:var(--crimson);<br />
    margin:0 0 14px;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel dl{margin:0;}<br />
  .panel .row{<br />
    display:flex;<br />
    justify-content:space-between;<br />
    gap:18px;<br />
    padding:7px 0;<br />
    border-bottom:1px dotted var(--rule);<br />
  }<br />
  .panel .row:last-child{border-bottom:none;}<br />
  .panel dt{margin:0;color:#4a443a;}<br />
  .panel dd{margin:0;font-weight:700;color:var(--crimson-dark);white-space:nowrap;}<br />
  em.term{font-style:italic;}<br />
  .end{<br />
    text-align:center;<br />
    color:var(--gold);<br />
    font-size:1.4rem;<br />
    letter-spacing:.4em;<br />
    margin:2.6em 0 0;<br />
  }<br />
  @media (max-width:560px){<br />
    h1{font-size:2.25rem;}<br />
    .standfirst{font-size:1.08rem;}<br />
    blockquote{font-size:1.24rem;}<br />
    .panel .row{flex-direction:column;gap:2px;}<br />
    .panel dd{white-space:normal;}<br />
  }<br />
</style>
<p></head><br />
<body></p>
<article class="wrap">
<p class="kicker">Ethiopia · General Election 2026</p>
<h1>Hail Macbeth Ahmed: King Hereafter</h1>
<p class="standfirst">Ethiopia&rsquo;s electoral commissioners have hailed their Macbeth. Behind the coronation: 106,280 votes for a prime minister, one upheld complaint in a hundred and twenty-nine, and an entire region that never voted at all.</p>
<p class="byline">By <strong>E. Frashie</strong></p>
<p class="lead">&ldquo;All hail Macbeth, that shalt be king hereafter.&rdquo; The witches on the heath gave Macbeth no crown. They told him only what he had already resolved to seize, and dressed the theft in the language of prophecy. This week, in a conference room in Addis Ababa, the National Election Board of Ethiopia performed the same small service for Abiy Ahmed Ali. Three commissioners read the figures into the record, certified them beneath the seals of Proclamation 1162, and called the performance democracy. The audience had been handed the ending long before the first ballot was cast on 1 June.</p>
<p>The headline number, when it finally arrived, was almost modest. In the Goma 2 constituency of Oromia &mdash; Beshasha, the prime minister&rsquo;s birthplace &mdash; Abiy Ahmed was certified the winner for the Prosperity Party with 106,280 votes. It is worth pausing on the arithmetic. In a country of more than fifty million registered voters, the personal mandate of the man who will govern for the next five years rests on a hundred and six thousand ballots cast in a single district he has represented before. Under the first-past-the-post system Ethiopia inherited and never reconsidered, that is enough. The premiership is not won at the ballot box but assembled afterward, seat by seat, in the chamber those seats compose.</p>
<p>And here the play turns on its irony. In Bahir Dar, the deputy prime minister, Temesgen Tiruneh &mdash; former director of national intelligence, former president of the Amhara region, the security architect of the war that followed &mdash; was read in at some 156,000 votes, outpolling his own premier by half as much again. The number is not the scandal. The geography is. Temesgen banked his fatter mandate in the capital of a region where thirty constituencies were cancelled outright, where a state of emergency has run since 2023, and where the countryside that might have swollen or shrunk his tally was never permitted to vote. The deputy harvested his majority from the one Amhara city still allowed to go to the polls.</p>
<blockquote><p>The deputy harvested his majority from the one Amhara city still allowed to go to the polls.</p></blockquote>
<h2>The arithmetic of certification</h2>
<p>The Board&rsquo;s own accounting tells the rest. Of 1,139 electoral districts &mdash; 501 federal seats and 638 regional ones &mdash; the commissioners had formally certified 723, with a further 253 awaiting entry into the database and 120 still under active audit, their conflicting tallies unreconciled. The Board declared its winners, in other words, with better than one district in ten still being argued over in a back room.</p>
<p>The grievance process is where the machine shows its workings. Political parties lodged complaints in 129 districts. The Board reports resolving 86 of them. Seventy-five were investigated and rejected for insufficient evidence; ten were quietly withdrawn by the parties themselves; and exactly one &mdash; a single complaint, in a single district, anywhere in the country &mdash; was found supported by concrete enough evidence to compel a recount, now proceeding under the eyes of party observers. Forty-three remain outstanding, the Board says, with resolution promised inside forty-eight hours.</p>
<blockquote><p>One complaint in a hundred and twenty-nine. The Board believed exactly one.</p></blockquote>
<div class="panel">
<h3>The count, by the Board&rsquo;s own numbers</h3>
<dl>
<div class="row">
<dt>Electoral districts (501 federal · 638 regional)</dt>
<dd>1,139</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Districts formally certified</dt>
<dd>723</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Awaiting compilation</dt>
<dd>253</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Still under audit</dt>
<dd>120</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Complaints filed</dt>
<dd>129</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>&mdash; rejected, insufficient evidence</dt>
<dd>75</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>&mdash; withdrawn by parties</dt>
<dd>10</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>&mdash; upheld, recount ordered</dt>
<dd>1</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Abiy Ahmed &mdash; Goma 2, Oromia (PP)</dt>
<dd>106,280</dd>
</div>
<div class="row">
<dt>Temesgen Tiruneh &mdash; Bahir Dar (PP)</dt>
<dd>~156,000</dd>
</div>
</dl>
</div>
<p>What were the parties complaining about? The catalogue is wearily familiar to anyone who has watched a dominant-party state hold a vote: voters pressured at the booth, party observers blocked or removed from stations before the counting began, campaigning on polling day, underage ballots, secrecy breached by the very officers sworn to protect it, and the heavy administrative thumb of local district authorities. The Board weighed written submissions, photographs, video and witness testimony, and found in all of it a single grievance worth acting upon. The figure is its own verdict. It is not the verdict the Board intended to deliver.</p>
<h2>The seats that were never in play</h2>
<p>The result was decided not by what was counted but by what was excluded. No vote was held in Tigray at all &mdash; the Board cited &ldquo;unfavourable conditions&rdquo; left by a war that killed a number no one has dared finalise. Thirty constituencies in Amhara went dark for fear of the Fano militia; districts across Oromia were suspended for what officials called security problems. Only 501 of the 547 seats in the House of Peoples&rsquo; Representatives were contested; a party needs 274 to govern. The Prosperity Party, which took roughly 410 of 484 seats in 2021, is once again projected toward a total in the high four hundreds, though the official tally is not yet sealed and ought to be treated as provisional until it is.</p>
<p>The international imprimatur arrived on schedule. The African Union mission, led by Kenya&rsquo;s former president Uhuru Kenyatta, pronounced the exercise conducted within a framework that &ldquo;broadly supports democratic governance&rdquo;; the IGAD mission, under Uganda&rsquo;s former vice-president Speciosa Wandira-Kazibwe, confirmed the ballot boxes had been sealed correctly. Both are true. Both describe the procedure of an election while declining to notice the country it was held in. An observer can certify that the boxes were sealed without remarking that an entire region was given no boxes to seal.</p>
<h2>Meanwhile, in Brussels</h2>
<p>While the commissioners read out their winners, a quieter indictment was being recorded eight time zones away. In the European Parliament, under the auspices of the intergroup on freedom of religion or belief, the European Centre for Law and Justice convened a hearing it titled, without euphemism, &ldquo;The Silent Suffering of the Amhara People in Ethiopia&rdquo; &mdash; an update of a report the centre first published two years ago. Its keynote was delivered by Prince Asfa-Wossen Asserate: grand-nephew of Haile Selassie, historian, and a man whose father was among the sixty officials executed on the Black Saturday of November 1974, and who has spent the half-century since in Germany.</p>
<p>He came to ask the institutions of the West for specific things, and named them one by one: an independent United Nations inquiry into the persecution of Orthodox Christians in Oromia; a United States designation of Ethiopia as a country of particular concern under the Religious Freedom Act; targeted European sanctions against the officials he holds responsible; an end to the African Union&rsquo;s studied silence; and the documentation, by the international criminal bodies, of a case naming the prime minister himself.</p>
<p>The prince&rsquo;s gravest figures should be handled with the care he himself urged: his tally of nearly forty thousand casualties from federal air and drone strikes on Amhara over five months was drawn, he conceded from the podium, from a single American monitor with few specialists on the country. The harder, corroborated core of his case sits closer to the ground. In the last days of May and the first of June &mdash; as the nation queued to vote &mdash; assailants moved through the Arsi zone of Oromia, killing at least thirty-five Orthodox Christians, burning the Teleta Saint Gabriel church, a structure that had stood for a hundred and one years, and looting another. The federal government blames the Oromo Liberation Army; the OLA blames forces aligned with the government; the dead remain dead, and largely unacknowledged by the state that failed to protect them.</p>
<p>It was the prince, not this newspaper, who reached for the comparison that hangs over every such hearing: the world expressed its remorse after Rwanda, after Sinjar, after Srebrenica, and remorse without prevention, he observed, is not justice. He noted, too, that the country&rsquo;s most celebrated singer, Teddy Afro, had released a record &mdash; <em class="term">Ethiora</em>, briefly the second-ranked album on a global chart &mdash; pleading for reconciliation, and had seen his premises raided and his managers jailed for the trouble. A government secure in its mandate does not fear a love song. A government that has just been handed 106,280 votes and a region full of empty polling stations evidently does.</p>
<h2>The reckoning</h2>
<p>Macbeth got his crown. What the play remembers is not the coronation but everything the coronation could not settle: the blood that would have blood, the wood that walked, the dawning recognition that a throne taken by arithmetic is held only as long as the arithmetic frightens people. Abiy Ahmed will be sworn in. The Board has certified it, the observers have blessed the procedure, and the figures are entered beneath Articles 7 and 162. Whether a mandate assembled out of a hundred thousand votes here, an excluded region there, and one believed complaint in a hundred and twenty-nine can govern a country already fighting itself on three fronts is the question the certificate cannot answer. It signifies, for now, a great deal of sound and fury. What it signifies beyond that, the next five years will be left to decide.</p>
<p class="end">&loz; &loz; &loz;</p>
</article>
<p></body><br />
</html></p>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4764" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/hail-macbeth-ahmed-king-hereafter/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4764</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Wall of Silence</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-wall-of-silence/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-wall-of-silence/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 08:50:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[African News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[#EthiopianTribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethionews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prince dr Asfaw Wossen Asrate Kassa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ኢትዮጵያ]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4761</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[His thesis was delivered in the flat, exhausted register of a man who has made the argument before. Ethiopia, he said, is not enduring a civil war but several at once, governed throughout by what he called an ethnic-elite lens that has hollowed out its institutions, its press and its courts. The portion he had come to document was the fate of the Orthodox Tewahedo Church — an institution he dated to the first century, older than the Roman and the Byzantine traditions, custodian of the Books of Enoch and Jubilees and of manuscripts that survive nowhere else on earth. For eight consecutive years, he charged, a coordinated campaign has been waged against Orthodox communities in parts of Ethiopia, and above all in Oromia.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>8 Minute, 51 Second                </div>

            </div><p><!DOCTYPE html><br />
<html lang="en-GB"><br />
<head><br />
<meta charset="UTF-8"><br />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"><br />
<title>The Wall of Silence — The Ethiopian Tribune</title></p>
<style>
  :root{<br />
    --crimson:#9E1B32;<br />
    --crimson-dark:#7c1426;<br />
    --gold:#B8860B;<br />
    --gold-soft:#C9A227;<br />
    --ink:#1c1a17;<br />
    --paper:#fbf8f1;<br />
    --rule:#d8cdb6;<br />
  }<br />
  *{box-sizing:border-box;}<br />
  body{<br />
    margin:0;<br />
    background:var(--paper);<br />
    color:var(--ink);<br />
    font-family:"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua",Palatino,Georgia,serif;<br />
    line-height:1.62;<br />
    -webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;<br />
  }<br />
  .wrap{max-width:720px;margin:0 auto;padding:56px 28px 96px;}<br />
  .kicker{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.22em;<br />
    font-size:.72rem;font-weight:700;color:var(--crimson);margin:0 0 18px;<br />
  }<br />
  h1{font-size:3.1rem;line-height:1.02;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:-.01em;margin:0 0 18px;}<br />
  .standfirst{<br />
    font-size:1.22rem;line-height:1.5;font-style:italic;color:#3a352e;<br />
    margin:0 0 26px;padding-bottom:26px;border-bottom:3px double var(--rule);<br />
  }<br />
  .byline{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:.82rem;letter-spacing:.13em;text-transform:uppercase;<br />
    color:#5a5347;margin:0 0 38px;<br />
  }<br />
  .byline strong{color:var(--crimson-dark);}<br />
  p{margin:0 0 1.25em;font-size:1.08rem;}<br />
  .lead:first-letter{<br />
    float:left;font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:4.6rem;line-height:.78;<br />
    padding:6px 12px 0 0;color:var(--crimson);font-weight:700;<br />
  }<br />
  h2{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:1.02rem;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.16em;<br />
    color:var(--crimson-dark);margin:2.4em 0 .9em;padding-top:.4em;<br />
  }<br />
  h2::before{content:"";display:block;width:46px;height:3px;background:var(--gold);margin-bottom:1.1em;}<br />
  blockquote{<br />
    margin:1.8em 0;padding:.2em 0 .2em 26px;border-left:4px solid var(--gold);<br />
    font-size:1.5rem;line-height:1.32;font-style:italic;color:var(--crimson-dark);font-weight:600;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel{<br />
    background:#fff;border:1px solid var(--rule);border-top:4px solid var(--crimson);<br />
    padding:22px 26px 8px;margin:2.2em 0;font-size:.98rem;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel h3{<br />
    font-family:Georgia,serif;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.14em;<br />
    font-size:.74rem;color:var(--crimson);margin:0 0 14px;<br />
  }<br />
  .panel ol{margin:0;padding-left:1.2em;}<br />
  .panel li{padding:6px 0;border-bottom:1px dotted var(--rule);}<br />
  .panel li:last-child{border-bottom:none;}<br />
  .panel li strong{color:var(--crimson-dark);}<br />
  em.term{font-style:italic;}<br />
  .end{text-align:center;color:var(--gold);font-size:1.4rem;letter-spacing:.4em;margin:2.6em 0 0;}<br />
  @media (max-width:560px){<br />
    h1{font-size:2.25rem;}<br />
    .standfirst{font-size:1.08rem;}<br />
    blockquote{font-size:1.24rem;}<br />
  }<br />
</style>
<p></head><br />
<body></p>
<article class="wrap">
<p class="kicker">Europe &middot; The Horn of Africa</p>
<h1>The Wall of Silence</h1>
<p class="standfirst">A prince of the old Solomonic line carried the case of Ethiopia&rsquo;s persecuted Orthodox Christians into the European Parliament. The institution has the power to act &mdash; and a long practice of looking away.</p>
<p class="byline">By <strong>E. Frashie</strong></p>
<p class="lead">The whole of southern Germany had stopped moving. Storms had taken down the railways, and the keynote speaker was late &mdash; he had changed trains four times and called it, when he finally reached the lectern, a small miracle that he had arrived at all. There is a metaphor in this that the afternoon did not need spelling out: a man had come to Brussels to testify to an erasure, and a collapsed timetable had nearly erased him from his own hearing. Prince Asfa-Wossen Asserate apologised for the delay, thanked the room, and proceeded to lay before it a charge sheet that the institutions of the West have spent the better part of a decade declining to read.</p>
<p>The hearing had been convened in the European Parliament under the intergroup on freedom of religion or belief, and organised by the European Centre for Law and Justice, a faith-aligned legal advocacy body whose report on the subject &mdash; bluntly titled <em class="term">The Silent Suffering of the Amhara People in Ethiopia</em> &mdash; was first published two years ago and has now been revised. The choice of witness was deliberate. Asfa-Wossen Asserate is a grand-nephew of Haile Selassie and a descendant of a Solomonic line that traces its claim to Aksum; he is also a German-based historian and author whose father was among the sixty senior officials executed on the Black Saturday of November 1974, while the prince, then a student, was stranded abroad. He has spent fifty years in exile. He is, in other words, the rare witness whom even an indifferent chamber finds difficult to wave away.</p>
<blockquote><p>He had come to testify to an erasure, and a collapsed rail timetable had nearly erased him from his own hearing.</p></blockquote>
<p>His thesis was delivered in the flat, exhausted register of a man who has made the argument before. Ethiopia, he said, is not enduring a civil war but several at once, governed throughout by what he called an ethnic-elite lens that has hollowed out its institutions, its press and its courts. The portion he had come to document was the fate of the Orthodox Tewahedo Church &mdash; an institution he dated to the first century, older than the Roman and the Byzantine traditions, custodian of the Books of Enoch and Jubilees and of manuscripts that survive nowhere else on earth. For eight consecutive years, he charged, a coordinated campaign has been waged against Orthodox communities in parts of Ethiopia, and above all in Oromia.</p>
<h2>The case, as he made it</h2>
<p>The specifics were grim and familiar to anyone who reads the Horn closely: churches burned to their foundations, some of them ancient repositories of manuscript heritage; priests, monks, deacons and nuns killed; crucifixes torn from the necks of worshippers, children among them, in footage that circulates widely and produces no arrests. The victims, the prince noted, are predominantly Amhara, but include Tigrayan, Gurage and Oromo Christians &mdash; a point worth holding onto, because it complicates any attempt to file the violence under ethnic politics alone. He reserved his sharpest language for what he described as the state&rsquo;s capture of the Church itself: the displacement of its canonical leadership, the installation of compliant bishops, and the dismantling of an autonomy that had survived emperors and Marxists alike. An institution that endured the Derg, in his telling, is now being asked to survive the peace.</p>
<p>On the gravest numbers, candour requires the distance the prince himself volunteered. His tally of nearly forty thousand casualties from federal air and drone strikes on Amhara across five months &mdash; some fourteen thousand of them dead, with further claims of mass rape, abduction and detention &mdash; was drawn, he conceded from the podium, from a single American monitor with few specialists on the country. Those figures sit far above anything in the independently documented record and should travel only with that caveat attached. The corroborated core of his case is narrower and no less damning. The Ethiopian Human Rights Commission has logged repeated mass killings of Orthodox Christians in the Arsi zone through this year; and in the final days of May, as the nation queued to vote, assailants moved through Arsi again, killing at least thirty-five worshippers and burning the Teleta Saint Gabriel church, a structure that had stood for a hundred and one years. The federal government blames the Oromo Liberation Army and the prime minister offered his condolences; the OLA denies responsibility and accuses forces aligned with the state. The attribution is contested. The dead are not.</p>
<blockquote><p>An institution that endured the Derg is now being asked to survive the peace.</p></blockquote>
<p>He widened the lens before closing. He cited the patriarch, Abune Matias, who in early May had pleaded with the country&rsquo;s leaders not to be ruthless with God&rsquo;s people. He noted that thousands of schools across Amhara stand damaged or destroyed and that, by the monitors he trusts, only about a fifth of the region&rsquo;s children now attend one. And he turned, pointedly, to the singer Teddy Afro, whose record <em class="term">Ethiora</em> &mdash; briefly the second-ranked album on a global chart &mdash; pleaded for reconciliation across faith and tribe, and whose premises were raided and whose managers were jailed for it. A confident state, the prince implied, does not fear a hymn to brotherhood.</p>
<h2>Six things he asked for</h2>
<div class="panel">
<h3>The prince&rsquo;s demands to the institutions of the West</h3>
<ol>
<li><strong>The United Nations</strong> &mdash; an independent Human Rights Council inquiry into the persecution of Orthodox Christians in Oromia, with particular attention to the Arsi massacres, the church burnings and the displacement of clergy.</li>
<li><strong>The United States</strong> &mdash; to invoke the International Religious Freedom Act and designate Ethiopia a Country of Particular Concern.</li>
<li><strong>The European Union</strong> &mdash; targeted sanctions on the officials within the government who have enabled, coordinated or shielded the perpetrators.</li>
<li><strong>The African Union</strong> &mdash; to end its institutional silence and acknowledge that a member state is committing crimes against its own religious minorities.</li>
<li><strong>The international criminal bodies</strong> &mdash; to begin the systematic documentation of evidence for prosecution, naming the prime minister and his senior security and political officials.</li>
<li><strong>The global media and civil society</strong> &mdash; to break the wall of silence, sustain coverage, and amplify the voices of those living in fear.</li>
</ol>
</div>
<h2>The institution he was addressing</h2>
<p>It is the fourth and sixth of these that the afternoon implicitly tested, because they were addressed to the very rooms in which he stood. Brussels is not wholly deaf to the subject: in January the Parliament passed its annual human-rights resolution and, for the first time, named &ldquo;Christianophobia&rdquo; as a global pattern. But a resolution is a sentence, and the prince had come to ask for verbs. The gap between the two is the whole of his complaint. The European Union has the legal machinery for targeted sanctions and the diplomatic standing to make an African Union member uncomfortable; what it has lacked, on Ethiopia, is the will to spend either.</p>
<p>He ended where such testimony always ends, with the roll-call of the previously ignored. The world expressed its remorse after Rwanda, after Sinjar, after Srebrenica, he said, and remorse that arrives after the fact is not justice; it is paperwork. The Church he had described has outlasted the fall of Aksum, the medieval invasions and the Derg&rsquo;s Marxist persecution across two thousand years. It would be a particular shame, he suggested, for it to be extinguished now, in plain sight, under the gaze of a world that possesses both the knowledge and the instruments to prevent it. Whether that world reaches for them, or reaches once more for the language of regret, is the only question the hearing actually posed &mdash; and the one it adjourned without answering.</p>
<blockquote><p>A resolution is a sentence, and the prince had come to ask for verbs.</p></blockquote>
<p class="end">&loz; &loz; &loz;</p>
</article>
<p></body><br />
</html></p>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4761" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/the-wall-of-silence/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4761</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Surviving Is Not Governing</title>
		<link>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/chaotic-equilibrium/</link>
					<comments>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/chaotic-equilibrium/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ethiopian Tribune editor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 04:59:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://ethiopiantribune.com/?p=4755</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mefkereseb G. Hailu (PhD) EDITORIAL FOREWORD Surviving Is Not Governing On chaotic equilibrium, the four...]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='booster-block booster-read-block'>
                <div class="twp-read-time">
                	<i class="booster-icon twp-clock"></i> <span>Read Time:</span>9 Minute, 39 Second                </div>

            </div>
<p>Mefkereseb G. Hailu (PhD)</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">EDITORIAL</mark> <mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">FOREWORD</mark></strong></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>Surviving Is Not Governing</strong></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em>On chaotic equilibrium, the four singular interests, and the constitutional reckoning Ethiopia cannot defer</em></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em>By Endex, Editor-in-Chief, The Ethiopian Tribune</em></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em>16 June 2026</em></p>



<p class="MsoNormal">&nbsp;</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>T</strong>here is a particular kind of fatigue that comes not from silence but from the opposite from having said, again and again, what is true and necessary, and watching the words dissolve into a political atmosphere too saturated with noise to absorb them. It is the fatigue of the serious analyst in a season that rewards the demagogue. Dr Mefkereseb G. Hailu knows it well. In the note he sent us alongside this, his concluding instalment in a series of nine essays published in these pages over the past six months, he described the experience with a candour that struck this editor as the most honest thing written about Ethiopian public discourse in recent memory:</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#ff6900" class="has-inline-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-color">&#8220;I am gradually learning that our politics often generates more noise than traction. One writes and writes, hoping to be heard, yet too often the words disappear into the ether. In time, the process itself can become a kind of addiction, a relentless attempt to persuade, explain, and warn, even when the echoes seem to return unanswered.&#8221;</mark></em></p>



<p class="MsoNormal">We publish those words here, in this foreword, because they deserve to be read as part of the record not as an admission of defeat, which they are not, but as a diagnosis, offered by the same disciplined mind that has spent half a year mapping Ethiopia&#8217;s converging crises with the tools of systems science, geopolitical analysis, and institutional economics. MGH writes as a nationalist, he tells us, but not a partisan; and that distinction has been the animating principle of everything this series has produced. The distinction is rarer than it should be. It has made his work essential.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">This final essay, &#8220;Can Abiy Govern in Chaotic Equilibrium?&#8221;, is the series at its most ambitious and, in places, its most sombre. It arrives in the immediate aftermath of the 1 June snap election an exercise conducted under telecommunications blackout in parts of the country, with scores of polling stations that never opened and it reads that domestic reality against a regional storm the analysts did not price in: the US–Israel war on Iran, launched on 28 February, that has refused to end cleanly and has now, as these words go to press, produced a Geneva settlement that enriches and validates Tehran while sidelining Jerusalem and overruling the very coalition on which Ethiopia&#8217;s most ambitious external bets were quietly staked.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">The argument MGH assembles is, characteristically, not about the headline but about the structure beneath it. He draws on the mathematics of dynamical systems strange attractors, dissipative structures, Lorenz, Prigogine not as ornament but as analytical instrument, using the science to interrogate the fashionable claim that Abiy Ahmed&#8217;s method constitutes the &#8220;mastery&#8221; of chaotic equilibrium. His verdict is precise and unsparing: surviving is not governing; and a strange attractor not anchored to the nation&#8217;s constitutive interests does not hold a state together it merely postpones the moment it flies apart. The Middle East permacrisis, he argues, supplies the illustration at scale: two of the most powerful men alive tried to ride the chaos and lost control of it. The temptation being marketed to Addis Ababa is identical. The margin for error is far smaller.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#ff6900" class="has-inline-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-color"><em>&#8220;A detonator mistaken for a microphone.&#8221; On the public record, the Office of the Prime Minister folded the Arsi massacre into a statement dominated by the seventh national election—treating the dead as a footnote to a campaign. That is not analysis. It is denial wearing the costume of statesmanship</em>.” </mark></p>



<p class="MsoNormal">At the heart of the essay and, the Tribune believes, at the heart of the Ethiopian moment—is Arsi. The systematic attacks on Orthodox Christian communities in East Arsi Zone, escalating since October 2025 and surging around the election itself, are not, MGH argues, a regional incident to be managed by press line. They are what he calls the super-coupler: the violence that welds the ethnic fracture to the religious one, assembles a coalition of grievance larger than any single insurgency Ethiopia faces, and places before the state a test it cannot pass with a messaging strategy. A burned church cannot be split the difference of in a negotiation. And the institution most capable of unmaking a government the Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahedo Church, with its pan-ethnic reach and its centuries of accumulated moral authority is watching.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">The essay does not confine itself to catastrophe. MGH opens a genuine developmental ledger on Abiy Ahmed crediting the inheritance he kept from the Meles era, the agricultural programmes that earned international recognition, the completion of GERD, the private investment arriving at scale and he refuses the lazy comfort of imagining the opposition as the remedy. His assessment of the diaspora&#8217;s self-defeating fervour, of the ethnic entrepreneurship institutionalised by the 1995 constitution, of the cultural grammar of mistrust that makes horizontal solidarity so difficult to build, and of the political economy that makes rival ethnic elites collaborators rather than enemies these are the most searching pages of the series, and they demand the kind of re-reading that our noisy public square is least equipped to offer.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">The prescription is the same one this series has returned to with the discipline of a compass: the four singular interests Unity, Red Sea Sovereignty, broad-based development anchored in democracy, and GERD as engine legislated and made invariant, anchored not in the operator&#8217;s survival but in the survival of the state. And beneath that, the founding text itself. You cannot fix the basin around civic unity, MGH writes, while operating under a constitution that makes ethnicity, not citizenship, the fundamental unit of the state. It is the constitution, stupid and has been, all along.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">A WORD OF APPRECIATION</mark></strong></p>



<p class="MsoNormal">The Ethiopian Tribune owes Dr Mefkereseb G. Hailu a debt that a foreword can only begin to acknowledge. Since January 2026 he has contributed to these pages nine major essays spanning the Abraham Accords and the Gulf–Red Sea–Horn security architecture, the June election and the developmental state question, national unity and Red Sea sovereignty, and now this concluding synthesis. Each piece arrived rigorously sourced, analytically independent, and written with the kind of moral seriousness that is the rarest commodity in Ethiopian public life. He wrote not to be agreed with, but to be useful. That, in this political season, is an act of considerable courage.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">He writes now that his sabbatical is drawing to a close, and that other pressing responsibilities will soon demand his attention. He takes comfort, he says, in knowing he has said what he felt compelled to say. We take comfort, for our part, in knowing that these essays exist that they are on the record, available to the patient reader who returns to them when the noise has subsided, as noise always does, and the questions MGH has been asking remain exactly as unresolved as they are today. History will adjudicate his analysis; we do not doubt the judgement will be generous.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">He closes his note to us with a wish: that we were more reflective, more strategic, more clear-eyed in our judgements, and above all—kinder to one another. It is a wish this Tribune shares, and one we commend to every reader. MGH continues to pray for healing, understanding, and reconciliation. So do we. We are grateful to have had him in our pages, and we shall remain so.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">ABOUT THIS ESSAY: A SUMMARY FOR THE READER</mark></strong></p>



<p class="MsoNormal">&#8220;Can Abiy Govern in Chaotic Equilibrium?&#8221; is the ninth and concluding instalment in MGH&#8217;s series for the Ethiopian Tribune, and it operates on three simultaneous registers: the geopolitical, the systemic, and the constitutional.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Geopolitically</mark></strong>, the essay reads Ethiopia&#8217;s domestic crisis against the US–Israel war on Iran that began on 28 February 2026 and, after months of a resilient Iranian resistance that held the Strait of Hormuz shut and weaponised what MGH calls &#8220;linkage&#8221; binding the Lebanese and Gulf theatres so that neither could be settled alone ended in a Geneva deal signed on 19 June that enriched Iran, sidelined Israel, and overruled the latent coalition of Israeli technology, Emirati capital, and American security cover on which Ethiopia&#8217;s Red Sea ambitions had been quietly staked. The lesson MGH draws is not one of misfortune but of method: sovereignty cannot be outsourced, and a bet placed on other people&#8217;s coalitions is clientage with better branding.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Systemically</mark></strong>, the essay subjects to forensic examination the fashionable claim that Abiy&#8217;s method constitutes the mastery of chaotic equilibrium. Using the mathematics of dynamical systems—strange attractors, bifurcation thresholds, Lorenz&#8217;s butterfly, Prigogine&#8217;s dissipative structures—MGH identifies three things true of strange attractors that the flattering version omits: the basin is set by the system&#8217;s parameters, not chosen by the operator; sensitive dependence cuts both ways; and an attractor is not a goal, merely a description of where a system goes when no one is choosing where it should go. A state can orbit a basin of permanent low-grade civil war indefinitely. That, too, is a chaotic equilibrium. It is also a catastrophe.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">Constitutionally</mark></strong>, the essay returns, as the whole series has returned, to the founding text. The 1995 constitution does not merely permit ethnic mobilisation; it rewards it, vesting sovereignty in &#8220;nations, nationalities and peoples&#8221; and inscribing secession into the first principles of the state. Under those equations, the attractor the system is mathematically drawn toward is ethnic entrepreneurship—the monkey-habit that produces Fano, sustains the TPLF, gives the OLA its grammar, and hands Asmara its proxies. The four singular interests—Unity, Red Sea Sovereignty, broad-based development anchored in democracy, and GERD as engine—are the invariants that could anchor a different attractor. But they must be legislated, not improvised. It is, as MGH has said from the beginning, the constitution, stupid.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">Along the way, the essay examines: the convergence of three insurgencies (Fano, OLA, TPLF) with a sovereign default still unresolved two and a half years on; the role of Turkey as the straddler who profits from managed disorder; Eritrea as the patient spoiler whose bargaining position improves with every month the regional storm continues; the Arsi massacres as the super-coupler that welds the ethnic fracture to the religious one and assembles a coalition of grievance larger than any single armed movement Ethiopia faces; the developmental ledger on Abiy Ahmed—credits and debits both; the formal logic of divide-and-rule as modelled by Acemoglu, Robinson and Verdier; the historical engineering of ethnicity under the TPLF-led EPRDF; the cultural grammar of mistrust that makes horizontal solidarity so difficult to build; the political economy that makes rival ethnic elites collaborators rather than enemies; the weakness of an opposition that embodies rather than transcends the fracture; and the self-defeating fervour of a diaspora that holds a financial lever over an exchange-rate-starved state and never picks it up.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">It is dense work, and it is important work. The Tribune commends it to every Ethiopian who believes the country can still choose the other dish.</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><mark style="background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e" class="has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color">READ THE FULL PUBLICATION</mark></strong></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em>The complete essay including all footnotes, the full bibliography of sixty sources, and the extended analysis of the four singular interests as a controlling invariant, is available for download at the link below. Readers are encouraged to share it widely.</em></p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>↓&nbsp; Download the Full Publication. &nbsp; ↓</strong></p>



<div class="wp-block-file"><a href="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/chaotic_equilibrium.pdf">chaotic_equilibrium.pdf</a><a href="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/chaotic_equilibrium.pdf" class="wp-block-file__button wp-element-button" download>Download</a></div>



<p class="MsoNormal">ethiopiantribune.com/publications/chaotic-equilibrium</p>



<p class="MsoNormal">&nbsp;</p>



<p class="MsoNormal"><em>The Ethiopian Tribune&nbsp; ·&nbsp; Independent since its founding&nbsp; ·&nbsp; ethiopiantribune.com</em>   </p>
        <div class="booster-block booster-reactions-block">
            <div class="twp-reactions-icons">
                
                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-1" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/happy.svg" alt="Happy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Happy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-2" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sad.svg" alt="Sad">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sad                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-3" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/excited.svg" alt="Excited">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Excited                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-6" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/sleepy.svg" alt="Sleepy">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">
                        Sleepy                    </div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                        
                                                <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-4" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/angry.svg" alt="Angry">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Angry</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                        
                    </div>
                </div>

                <div class="twp-reacts-wrap">
                    <a react-data="be-react-5" post-id="4755" class="be-face-icons un-reacted" href="javascript:void(0)">
                        <img decoding="async" src="https://ethiopiantribune.com/wp-content/plugins/booster-extension//assets/icon/surprise.svg" alt="Surprise">
                    </a>
                    <div class="twp-reaction-title">Surprise</div>
                    <div class="twp-count-percent">
                                                    <span style="display: none;" class="twp-react-count">0</span>
                                                                        <span class="twp-react-percent"><span>0</span> %</span>
                                            </div>
                </div>

            </div>
        </div>

    ]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://ethiopiantribune.com/2026/06/chaotic-equilibrium/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4755</post-id>	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
