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What actually transpired was an exhibition in diplomatic theatre of such refined quality that it merits examination not as a breakthrough, but as a perfect specimen of how great-power politics operates in the twenty-first century Horn of Africa. Every phrase was chosen to signify commitment without prescribing action. Every topic was discussed in a manner that guaranteed continued disagreement. Every statement of ‘shared values’ masked fundamentally incompatible interests.
And in this theatre, one must understand, lies the actual story of how the region will continue to be shaped—not by democratic impulses, not by humanitarian concern, but by the cold calculus of strategic advantage.
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How regional war, electoral consolidation, diaspora uprising, and conflicting visions of national identity threaten to unravel the Horn of Africa’s oldest continuous state
The Agaezi National Union Party’s perspective, articulated from within diaspora and intellectual circles, represents one such competing vision. The ANU’s analysis emphasises what it terms the “Geez Civilisation” and argues that the separation of Eritrea from Ethiopia constituted a catastrophic historical fragmentation engineered through foreign intervention and facilitated by TPLF-EPLF collaboration that should be characterised as treason against the greater Geez national project.
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It is with considerable gratitude that the Ethiopian Tribune presents the final instalment of Dr. Mefkereseb G. Hailu’s four-part analytical series on the Abraham Accords and their implications for Ethiopian sovereignty, geopolitical positioning, and national strategy. Over the past months, this series has established itself as the most rigorous and unflinching examination of the architecture reshaping the Gulf–Red Sea–Horn region—combining legal-historical analysis, strategic assessment, and an uncompromising focus on the conditions required for Ethiopian agency.
This final instalment, “Assab, Sovereignty, and the Endgame,” moves beyond architecture into operational reality. It addresses what Parts 1–3 have prepared: the political, military, and diplomatic conditions under which Ethiopian sovereignty is recovered; the enduring legal foundations on which that recovery stands; the closing strategic window that demands urgent action; and the binary choice that now confronts the Ethiopian state and people.
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South Africa’s government has taken strong positions on global conflicts, including:
Filing a genocide case against Israel
Condemning Western governments for selective outrage
Positioning itself as a moral voice of the Global South
A nation cannot preach justice abroad while tolerating injustice at home.
