Trump’s Nile Gambit Exposes Abiy’s Isolation as Egypt Tightens Regional Noose
Egypt’s strategy of regional isolation, whilst strategically sound, may actually deepen this dynamic by reinforcing Abiy’s siege mentality and conviction that compromise represents surrender. The encirclement with Somalia and Eritrea creates multiple pressure points but also eliminates potential diplomatic off-ramps by making any Ethiopian concession appear as capitulation to coordinated external coercion.